Detroit City vs Rhode Island Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Detroit City
Oct 10, 2026 - 23:00
1.29 1.31
Rhode Island
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Detroit City opened at -0.25 against Rhode Island in the USL Championship. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Detroit City -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Rhode Island than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Rhode Island +0.25
@ 2.61
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.72
Price Advantage
+51.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.88 / 2.52 -0.25 1.89 / 2.43 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.02 / 2.64 -0.25 1.97 / 2.61 — 0
Bet365 0 1.72 / 2.08 -0.25 2.00 / 2.50 — -0.25
1xBet -0.25 1.90 / 2.52 -0.25 1.91 / 2.43 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.98 / 2.50 -0.25 1.98 / 2.50 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
xG 1.29 / 1.31 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.97
Detroit City @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.39
Detroit City @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.97 vs 2.39
Market price is 17.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.85 8.50
-1.50 4.50 6.30
-1.25 4.04 5.80
-1.00 3.50 5.30
-0.75 2.62 3.50
-0.25 1.91 2.43
0 1.62 2.10
+0.25 1.44 1.76
+0.75 1.22 1.38
+1.00 1.09 1.22
+1.25 1.07 1.16
+1.50 1.06 1.13

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.40 6.25
-1.25 4.00 5.90
-1.00 3.55 5.50
-0.75 2.68 3.55
-0.50 2.30 2.85
-0.25 2.00 2.50
0 1.68 2.15
+0.25 1.50 1.80
+0.50 1.40 1.60
+0.75 1.27 1.45
+1.00 1.15 1.27
+1.25 1.13 1.23
+1.50 1.12 1.20

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.98 2.50
+0.25 1.50 1.78

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.85 8.50
-1.50 4.50 6.30
-1.25 4.05 5.80
-1.00 3.50 5.30
-0.75 2.62 3.50
-0.25 1.89 2.43
0 1.62 2.10
+0.25 1.44 1.74
+0.75 1.22 1.38
+1.00 1.09 1.22
+1.25 1.07 1.17
+1.50 1.06 1.13

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.73 3.79
-0.50 2.27 2.99
-0.25 1.97 2.61
0 1.66 2.21
+0.25 1.48 1.83
+0.50 1.37 1.62
+0.75 1.25 1.44
Primary Bets
More