Brooklyn vs Detroit City Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Brooklyn
Final Score
1 – 3
(HT 0-0)
Detroit City
Kick-off 23:00 Stadium Maimonides Park

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Brooklyn opened at -0.25 against Detroit City in the USL Championship. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.30 / 1.30
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Brooklyn -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward Detroit City than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Brooklyn -0.25
@ 3.20
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.36
Price Advantage
+35.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:30
Opening
-0.25
20:04
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
22:59
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 3.14 / 1.58 -0.25 3.20 / 1.55 -0.25 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.85 / 1.83 -0.25 3.01 / 1.78 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.68 / 1.90 -0.25 3.00 / 1.78 — 0
1xBet -0.25 3.14 / 1.58 -0.25 3.20 / 1.55 -0.25 0
Betano -0.25 2.72 / 1.80 -0.25 2.72 / 1.60 -0.25 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.77 / 1.78 -0.25 2.91 / 1.53 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 8.40 3.14
-1.25 7.90 2.83
-1.00 7.50 2.50
-0.75 4.80 2.02
-0.25 3.20 1.55
0 2.83 1.33
+0.25 2.17 1.26
+0.75 1.67 1.12
+1.00 1.44 1.03
+1.25 1.33 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.00 3.80
-1.25 7.00 3.45
-1.00 6.60 3.00
-0.75 4.25 2.35
-0.50 3.45 2.05
-0.25 3.00 1.78
0 2.50 1.50
+0.25 2.02 1.38
+0.50 1.75 1.30
+0.75 1.58 1.21
+1.00 1.38 1.11
+1.25 1.30 1.10
+1.50 1.25 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.91 1.53
0 3.10 1.30
+0.25 2.30 1.34

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.72 1.60
+0.25 2.27 1.42

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 8.40 3.14
-1.25 7.90 2.83
-1.00 7.50 2.50
-0.75 4.80 2.00
-0.25 3.20 1.55
0 2.83 1.33
+0.25 2.17 1.26
+0.75 1.65 1.12
+1.00 1.44 1.03
+1.25 1.33 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 4.07 2.38
-0.50 3.44 2.05
-0.25 3.01 1.78
0 2.59 1.51
+0.25 2.07 1.38
+0.50 1.80 1.31
+0.75 1.59 1.23
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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