Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Atletico Tucuman
Oct 17, 2026 - 23:00
0.70 1.26
Rosario Central
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Atletico Tucuman opened at -0.25 against Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.49
Atletico Tucuman +0.49

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Atletico Tucuman -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.74
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.74 AH points more toward Rosario Central than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Rosario Central +0.25
@ 2.08
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.74
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.32
Price Advantage
+57.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.64 / 1.92 -0.25 2.64 / 1.92 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.75 / 2.08 -0.25 2.75 / 2.08 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 3.00 / 1.90 -0.25 3.00 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.78 / 1.92 -0.25 2.78 / 1.92 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.66 / 1.91 -0.25 2.62 / 1.93 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.49
xG 0.70 / 1.26 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.75
Atletico Tucuman @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
4.12
Atletico Tucuman @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.75 vs 4.12
Market price is 33.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.80 5.00
-1.25 7.19 4.50
-1.00 6.55 3.96
-0.75 4.10 2.75
-0.25 2.78 1.92
0 2.25 1.64
+0.25 1.73 1.44
+0.75 1.35 1.16
+1.00 1.17 1.05
+1.25 1.13 1.03
+1.50 1.10 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 4.50 2.68
-0.50 3.45 2.25
-0.25 3.00 1.90
0 2.38 1.55
+0.25 1.90 1.38
+0.50 1.62 1.30
+0.75 1.45 1.19

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.05 2.27
-0.25 2.62 1.93
0 2.17 1.59
+0.25 1.75 1.41
+0.50 1.54 1.31

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.80 5.00
-1.25 7.20 4.50
-1.00 6.55 3.96
-0.75 4.10 2.75
-0.25 2.64 1.92
0 2.21 1.61
+0.25 1.73 1.39
+0.75 1.35 1.16
+1.00 1.17 1.05
+1.25 1.13 1.03
+1.50 1.10 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 4.25 3.05
-0.50 3.24 2.46
-0.25 2.75 2.08
0 2.24 1.68
+0.25 1.79 1.47
+0.50 1.57 1.35
+0.75 1.39 1.23
Primary Bets
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