Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Gimnasia L.P.
Oct 09, 2026 - 21:00
1.21 0.75
Atletico Tucuman
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Gimnasia L.P. opened at -0.25 against Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.40
Gimnasia L.P. -0.40

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Gimnasia L.P. -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.15
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.15 AH points more toward Gimnasia L.P. than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Atletico Tucuman +0.25
@ 3.20
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.15
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.24
Price Advantage
+42.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.78 / 2.84 -0.25 1.67 / 3.04 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.88 / 2.85 -0.25 1.88 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.85 / 2.84 -0.25 1.74 / 3.04 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.82 / 3.15 -0.25 1.78 / 3.20 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.77 / 2.95 -0.25 1.69 / 3.10 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.40
xG 1.21 / 0.75 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.67
Gimnasia L.P. @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.81
Gimnasia L.P. @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.67 vs 1.81
Market price is 7.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.76 8.30
-1.25 3.34 7.80
-1.00 2.92 7.40
-0.75 2.24 4.60
-0.25 1.74 3.04
0 1.46 2.72
+0.25 1.30 2.10
+0.75 1.13 1.52
+1.00 1.03 1.31
+1.25 1.02 1.24

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.60 4.40
-0.50 2.02 3.45
-0.25 1.88 2.85
0 1.55 2.38
+0.25 1.40 1.92
+0.50 1.30 1.78
+0.75 1.20 1.48

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.97 3.55
-0.25 1.69 3.10
0 1.41 2.62
+0.25 1.30 2.00
+0.50 1.24 1.72

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.07 3.70
-0.25 1.78 3.20
+0.25 1.37 2.10
+0.50 1.30 1.80

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.76 8.30
-1.25 3.34 7.80
-1.00 2.92 7.40
-0.75 2.24 4.60
-0.25 1.67 3.04
0 1.43 2.66
+0.25 1.30 2.01
+0.75 1.13 1.52
+1.00 1.03 1.31
+1.25 1.02 1.24
Primary Bets
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