Newells Old Boys vs Lanus Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Newells Old Boys
Oct 03, 2026 - 20:00
0.81 1.15
Lanus
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Newells Old Boys opened at 0 against Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.29
Newells Old Boys +0.29

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Newells Old Boys 0
Model–Market Gap
0.29
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.29 AH points more toward Lanus than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Lanus 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.29
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.59
Price Advantage
+19.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.92 / 1.81 0 1.92 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.95 / 1.90 0 1.95 / 1.90 — 0
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.95 / 1.85 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.84 0 1.96 / 1.84 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.67 / 1.57 +0.25 1.67 / 1.60 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.88 / 1.79 0 1.88 / 1.79 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.29
xG 0.81 / 1.15 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Newells Old Boys @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.69
Newells Old Boys @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 2.69
Market price is 27.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.60 8.30
-1.50 6.60 6.05
-1.25 6.04 5.45
-1.00 5.40 4.90
-0.75 3.44 3.15
-0.25 2.40 2.15
0 1.96 1.84
+0.25 1.58 1.57
+0.75 1.27 1.23
+1.00 1.11 1.09
+1.25 1.08 1.06
+1.50 1.06 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 6.25
-1.25 5.90 5.75
-1.00 5.50 5.25
-0.75 3.45 3.45
-0.50 2.75 2.68
-0.25 2.35 2.25
0 1.95 1.85
+0.25 1.62 1.58
+0.50 1.45 1.42
+0.75 1.30 1.30
+1.00 1.16 1.15
+1.25 1.14 1.13
+1.50 1.12 1.11

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.45 3.30
-0.50 2.70 2.58
-0.25 2.29 2.19
0 1.88 1.79
+0.25 1.58 1.53
+0.50 1.42 1.39
+0.75 1.27 1.25

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.65 3.35
-0.50 2.87 2.65
-0.25 2.42 2.25
+0.25 1.67 1.60
+0.50 1.50 1.45
+0.75 1.35 1.30

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 9.20 8.30
-1.50 6.60 6.05
-1.25 6.05 5.45
-1.00 5.40 4.90
-0.75 3.44 3.15
-0.25 2.30 2.15
0 1.92 1.81
+0.25 1.58 1.51
+0.75 1.27 1.23
+1.00 1.11 1.09
+1.25 1.08 1.06
+1.50 1.06 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.60 5.23
-0.75 3.62 3.48
-0.50 2.84 2.76
-0.25 2.40 2.33
0 1.95 1.90
+0.25 1.63 1.60
+0.50 1.47 1.44
+0.75 1.31 1.29
+1.00 1.17 1.15
Primary Bets
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