Instituto Cordoba vs Talleres Cordoba Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Instituto Cordoba
Final Score
3 – 1
(HT 0-0)
Talleres Cordoba
Kick-off 00:15 Stadium Estadio Presidente Peron

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Instituto Cordoba opened at -0.25 against Talleres Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.83
Instituto Cordoba -0.83

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.74 / 0.85
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Instituto Cordoba -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.58
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.58 AH points more toward Instituto Cordoba than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Instituto Cordoba -0.25
@ 1.83
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.58
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.51
Price Advantage
+21.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:01
Opening
-0.25
02:04
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.75 / 2.98 -0.25 1.75 / 2.93 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.80 / 3.10 -0.25 1.80 / 3.10 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.82 / 2.98 -0.25 1.82 / 2.93 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.83 / 3.20 -0.25 1.83 / 3.20 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.75 / 2.98 -0.25 1.76 / 2.96 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.19 9.20
-1.50 4.00 8.00
-1.25 3.58 7.50
-1.00 3.14 7.10
-0.75 2.39 4.50
-0.25 1.82 2.93
0 1.50 2.59
+0.25 1.32 1.98
+0.75 1.13 1.46
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.25 1.03 1.21
+1.50 1.02 1.17

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 3.80 6.80
-1.00 3.45 6.25
-0.75 2.50 4.65
-0.50 2.10 3.55
-0.25 1.80 3.10
0 1.48 2.60
+0.25 1.35 2.00
+0.50 1.27 1.70
+0.75 1.18 1.50
+1.00 1.12 1.30
+1.25 1.10 1.25

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.05 3.45
-0.25 1.76 2.96
0 1.46 2.47
+0.25 1.33 1.92
+0.50 1.25 1.66

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.15 3.70
-0.25 1.83 3.20
+0.25 1.38 2.02
+0.50 1.30 1.75

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.20 9.20
-1.50 4.00 8.00
-1.25 3.58 7.50
-1.00 3.14 7.10
-0.75 2.39 4.50
-0.25 1.75 2.93
0 1.47 2.54
+0.25 1.32 1.90
+0.75 1.14 1.46
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.25 1.03 1.21
+1.50 1.02 1.17
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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