Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Treaty United
Oct 16, 2026 - 18:45
1.25 1.35
Cobh Ramblers
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Treaty United opened at -0.25 against Cobh Ramblers in the First Division. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Treaty United -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.34
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.34 AH points more toward Cobh Ramblers than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Cobh Ramblers +0.25
@ 1.99
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.34
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.66
Price Advantage
+19.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.41 / 1.88 -0.25 2.41 / 1.88 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.58 / 1.99 -0.25 2.58 / 1.99 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.43 / 1.88 -0.25 2.43 / 1.88 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
xG 1.25 / 1.35 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.58
Treaty United @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.52
Treaty United @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.58 vs 2.52
Market price is 2.4% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.15 5.60
-1.50 6.05 4.30
-1.25 5.55 3.86
-1.00 5.05 3.34
-0.75 3.42 2.56
-0.25 2.43 1.88
0 2.08 1.63
+0.25 1.75 1.46
+0.75 1.40 1.23
+1.00 1.24 1.10
+1.25 1.18 1.08
+1.50 1.15 1.06
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.20 5.60
-1.50 6.05 4.30
-1.25 5.55 3.85
-1.00 5.05 3.34
-0.75 3.42 2.56
-0.25 2.41 1.88
0 2.08 1.63
+0.25 1.75 1.45
+0.75 1.40 1.23
+1.00 1.24 1.10
+1.25 1.18 1.08
+1.50 1.15 1.06
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.70 2.73
-0.50 2.96 2.30
-0.25 2.58 1.99
0 2.18 1.67
+0.25 1.81 1.49
+0.50 1.61 1.38
+0.75 1.44 1.26
Primary Bets
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