Remo vs Gremio Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Remo
Oct 07, 2026 - 22:30
1.42 0.95
Gremio
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Remo opened at -0.25 against Gremio in the Serie A. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.42
Remo -0.42

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Remo -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.17
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.17 AH points more toward Remo than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Gremio +0.25
@ 2.80
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.17
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.24
Price Advantage
+25.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.83 / 2.57 -0.25 1.83 / 2.57 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.95 / 2.72 -0.25 1.95 / 2.72 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.92 / 2.75 -0.25 1.92 / 2.75 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.92 / 2.57 -0.25 1.92 / 2.57 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.90 / 2.80 -0.25 1.90 / 2.80 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.42
xG 1.42 / 0.95 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Remo @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.81
Remo @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 1.81
Market price is 7.7% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.20 8.60
-1.50 4.05 6.45
-1.25 3.58 5.95
-1.00 3.20 5.50
-0.75 2.47 3.72
-0.25 1.92 2.57
0 1.64 2.32
+0.25 1.41 1.92
+0.75 1.20 1.43
+1.00 1.08 1.26
+1.25 1.07 1.21
+1.50 1.05 1.16

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.15 7.00
-1.25 3.70 6.40
-1.00 3.30 5.90
-0.75 2.50 4.00
-0.50 2.15 3.30
-0.25 1.92 2.75
0 1.58 2.35
+0.25 1.42 1.92
+0.50 1.32 1.68
+0.75 1.23 1.50
+1.00 1.13 1.32
+1.25 1.12 1.26
+1.50 1.10 1.22

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.18 3.20
-0.25 1.90 2.80
+0.25 1.47 1.95
+0.50 1.37 1.72

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.20 8.60
-1.50 4.05 6.45
-1.25 3.58 5.95
-1.00 3.20 5.50
-0.75 2.47 3.72
-0.25 1.83 2.57
0 1.59 2.25
+0.25 1.41 1.82
+0.75 1.20 1.43
+1.00 1.08 1.26
+1.25 1.07 1.21
+1.50 1.05 1.16

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.68 3.95
-0.50 2.25 3.11
-0.25 1.95 2.72
0 1.65 2.30
+0.25 1.48 1.89
+0.50 1.38 1.67
+0.75 1.26 1.49
Primary Bets
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