Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oct 18, 2026 - 00:30
1.34 1.60
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 5 books · 60% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sporting Kansas City opened at 0 against Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 5 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.24
Sporting Kansas City +0.24

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sporting Kansas City 0
Model–Market Gap
0.24
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 5 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.24 AH points more toward Real Salt Lake than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Real Salt Lake 0
@ 1.78
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.24
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.74
Price Advantage
+2.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 5 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 2.04 / 1.71 0 2.04 / 1.71 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.06 / 1.78 0 2.06 / 1.78 — 0
Bet365 0 2.08 / 1.72 0 2.08 / 1.72 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.75 / 2.30 -0.50 2.75 / 2.30 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.47 / 1.84 -0.25 2.30 / 1.95 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.24
xG 1.34 / 1.60 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.06
Sporting Kansas City @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.36
Sporting Kansas City @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.06 vs 2.36
Market price is 12.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 5.25
-1.50 5.25 3.90
-1.25 4.65 3.55
-1.00 4.25 3.30
-0.75 3.30 2.60
-0.50 2.68 2.25
-0.25 2.38 2.02
0 2.08 1.72
+0.25 1.78 1.55
+0.50 1.62 1.45
+0.75 1.48 1.32
+1.00 1.32 1.21
+1.25 1.27 1.18
+1.50 1.24 1.16
+1.75 1.16 1.11

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.59 2.20
-0.25 2.30 1.95
0 2.01 1.69
+0.25 1.73 1.52
+0.50 1.57 1.42

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.75 2.30
+0.50 1.65 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 5.10
-1.50 5.10 3.98
-1.25 4.65 3.58
-1.00 4.25 3.20
-0.75 3.10 2.53
-0.25 2.27 1.91
0 2.04 1.71
+0.25 1.74 1.52
+0.75 1.41 1.28
+1.00 1.26 1.15
+1.25 1.21 1.12
+1.50 1.17 1.10
+1.75 1.10 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.30 3.49
-0.75 3.24 2.74
-0.50 2.70 2.33
-0.25 2.38 2.06
0 2.06 1.78
+0.25 1.77 1.58
+0.50 1.60 1.46
+0.75 1.44 1.33
+1.00 1.30 1.21