Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Columbus Crew
Oct 14, 2026 - 23:30
1.34 1.04
Charlotte
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Columbus Crew opened at -0.25 against Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.27
Columbus Crew -0.27

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Columbus Crew -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.02
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.02 AH points more toward Columbus Crew than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Charlotte +0.25
@ 2.95
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.02
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.02
Price Advantage
+46.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.71 / 2.68 -0.25 1.71 / 2.68 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.75 / 2.85 -0.25 1.75 / 2.85 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.78 / 2.95 -0.25 1.78 / 2.95 — 0
BetVictor -0.50 1.96 / 3.10 -0.50 1.96 / 3.10 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.27
xG 1.34 / 1.04 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.71
Columbus Crew @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.98
Columbus Crew @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.71 vs 1.98
Market price is 13.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.45 6.80
-1.25 3.10 6.40
-1.00 2.75 5.90
-0.75 2.25 4.10
-0.50 2.00 3.30
-0.25 1.75 2.85
0 1.50 2.50
+0.25 1.40 2.05
+0.50 1.32 1.80
+0.75 1.23 1.62
+1.00 1.13 1.42
+1.25 1.12 1.35
+1.50 1.10 1.30

BetVictor Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.96 3.10
-0.25 1.73 2.73
0 1.49 2.38
+0.25 1.38 1.95
+0.50 1.30 1.72

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.78 2.95
+0.25 1.42 2.10

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.20 7.90
-1.50 3.34 6.10
-1.25 3.04 5.75
-1.00 2.70 5.30
-0.75 2.20 3.76
-0.25 1.71 2.68
0 1.51 2.43
+0.25 1.38 1.95
+0.75 1.19 1.54
+1.00 1.09 1.36
+1.25 1.07 1.29
+1.50 1.06 1.24
+1.75 1.02 1.15
Primary Bets
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