Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sporting Kansas City
Oct 11, 2026 - 00:30
1.26 1.70
Portland Timbers
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sporting Kansas City opened at 0 against Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.41
Sporting Kansas City +0.41

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sporting Kansas City 0
Model–Market Gap
0.41
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.41 AH points more toward Portland Timbers than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Portland Timbers 0
@ 2.05
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.41
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.60
Price Advantage
+28.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.85 / 1.88 0 1.77 / 1.96 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.84 / 2.02 0 1.82 / 2.05 — 0
SBO SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.12 / 2.19 -0.25 2.12 / 2.19 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.80 / 2.00 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.65 / 1.78 +0.25 1.65 / 1.78 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.78 / 1.89 0 1.75 / 1.92 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.41
xG 1.26 / 1.70 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.82
Sporting Kansas City @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.68
Sporting Kansas City @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.82 vs 2.68
Market price is 32.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.50 6.00
-1.50 4.15 4.65
-1.25 3.80 4.25
-1.00 3.45 3.90
-0.75 2.75 3.10
-0.50 2.35 2.60
-0.25 2.08 2.30
0 1.80 2.00
+0.25 1.60 1.72
+0.50 1.48 1.58
+0.75 1.35 1.42
+1.00 1.24 1.30
+1.25 1.21 1.25
+1.50 1.18 1.22
+1.75 1.12 1.15

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.66 2.96
-0.50 2.26 2.47
-0.25 2.01 2.20
0 1.75 1.92
+0.25 1.57 1.69
+0.50 1.46 1.54
+0.75 1.33 1.40

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.77 3.10
-0.50 2.32 2.65
-0.25 2.10 2.30
+0.25 1.65 1.78
+0.50 1.52 1.65
+0.75 1.40 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.20 9.00
-2.00 7.30 8.90
-1.75 5.10 6.00
-1.50 4.00 4.65
-1.25 3.58 4.30
-1.00 3.28 3.88
-0.75 2.56 2.93
-0.25 1.96 2.19
0 1.77 1.96
+0.25 1.56 1.70
+0.75 1.31 1.40
+1.00 1.18 1.25
+1.25 1.15 1.21
+1.50 1.12 1.17
+1.75 1.06 1.10

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.39 4.13
-0.75 2.70 3.13
-0.50 2.33 2.61
-0.25 2.07 2.33
0 1.82 2.05
+0.25 1.63 1.78
+0.50 1.51 1.62
+0.75 1.37 1.47
+1.00 1.24 1.32

SBO Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.12 2.19
+0.25 1.68 1.73
Primary Bets
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