Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Orlando City SC
Oct 10, 2026 - 23:30
1.33 1.37
Columbus Crew
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Orlando City SC opened at -0.25 against Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Orlando City SC -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.29
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.29 AH points more toward Columbus Crew than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Columbus Crew +0.25
@ 2.82
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.29
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.71
Price Advantage
+64.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.75 / 2.61 -0.25 1.75 / 2.61 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.83 / 2.77 -0.25 1.82 / 2.81 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.82 / 2.75 -0.25 1.82 / 2.68 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.82 / 2.82 -0.25 1.82 / 2.82 — 0
BetVictor -0.50 1.98 / 2.91 -0.50 1.98 / 2.94 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
xG 1.33 / 1.37 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.82
Orlando City SC @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.41
Orlando City SC @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.82 vs 2.41
Market price is 24.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.55 5.90
-1.25 3.30 5.75
-1.00 2.85 5.25
-0.75 2.38 3.70
-0.50 2.08 3.10
-0.25 1.82 2.68
0 1.58 2.35
+0.25 1.45 1.98
+0.50 1.35 1.72
+0.75 1.26 1.55
+1.00 1.16 1.40
+1.25 1.14 1.32
+1.50 1.13 1.27

BetVictor Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.98 2.94
-0.25 1.76 2.62
0 1.53 2.29
+0.25 1.41 1.92
+0.50 1.33 1.71

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.07 3.10
-0.25 1.82 2.82
+0.25 1.45 2.05
+0.50 1.39 1.78

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.30 7.80
-1.50 3.42 5.90
-1.25 3.08 5.50
-1.00 2.74 5.05
-0.75 2.24 3.60
-0.25 1.75 2.61
0 1.56 2.31
+0.25 1.40 1.90
+0.75 1.21 1.52
+1.00 1.10 1.35
+1.25 1.08 1.28
+1.50 1.07 1.23
+1.75 1.02 1.14

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.35 3.89
-0.50 2.05 3.15
-0.25 1.82 2.81
0 1.57 2.46
+0.25 1.45 2.05
+0.50 1.36 1.80
+0.75 1.26 1.61
Primary Bets
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