DC United vs Charlotte Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

DC United
Final Score
1 – 2
(HT 0-1)
Charlotte
Kick-off 23:30 Stadium Audi Field

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

DC United opened at 0 against Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. The current market consensus is +0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Charlotte from the opening line. The current consensus is +0.25 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also +0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
DC United +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.38 / 1.53
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
DC United +0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
+0.25 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward DC United than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
+0.25
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
20:01
Opening
0
20:01
Last Pre-Match
+0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP +0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
+0.25
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.84 / 1.90 -0.25 2.39 / 1.89 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.86 / 1.99 +0.25 1.88 / 1.54 — +0.25
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.67 / 1.57 +0.25 1.67 / 1.57 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 2.10 / 1.70 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.70 / 1.67 +0.25 1.82 / 1.57 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.82 / 1.85 -0.25 2.41 / 1.91 — -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.00 5.50
-1.50 5.50 4.10
-1.25 5.00 3.70
-1.00 4.50 3.45
-0.75 3.45 2.60
-0.50 2.75 2.25
-0.25 2.42 1.98
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.82 1.52
+0.50 1.62 1.42
+0.75 1.48 1.30
+1.00 1.30 1.19
+1.25 1.26 1.17
+1.50 1.23 1.15
+1.75 1.15 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.10 2.57
-0.50 2.73 2.17
-0.25 2.41 1.91
0 2.08 1.64
+0.25 1.77 1.48
+0.50 1.59 1.38
+0.75 1.43 1.30

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.40 2.75
-0.50 2.80 2.32
-0.25 2.47 2.05
+0.25 1.82 1.57
+0.50 1.65 1.47
+0.75 1.47 1.34

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.30 7.20
-1.75 7.10 5.05
-1.50 5.45 3.96
-1.25 5.05 3.58
-1.00 4.65 3.20
-0.75 3.28 2.50
-0.25 2.39 1.89
0 2.12 1.66
+0.25 1.76 1.47
+0.75 1.42 1.25
+1.00 1.26 1.12
+1.25 1.21 1.10
+1.50 1.17 1.08
+1.75 1.10 1.04

Pinnacle Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.74 2.73
-0.50 2.98 2.33
-0.25 2.61 2.03
0 2.23 1.72
+0.25 1.88 1.54
+0.50 1.67 1.43
+0.75 1.50 1.30

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.36 2.20
+0.25 1.67 1.57
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

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