North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

North Macedonia U21
Oct 01, 2026 - 16:00
1.33 1.27
Montenegro U21
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

North Macedonia U21 opened at 0 against Montenegro U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
North Macedonia U21 0
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward North Macedonia U21 than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
North Macedonia U21 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.05
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.93
Price Advantage
+4.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.70 / 2.04 0 1.98 / 1.75 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.02 / 1.79 0 2.02 / 1.79 — 0
Bet365 0 2.00 / 1.80 0 2.02 / 1.78 — 0
1xBet 0 1.75 / 1.91 0 1.98 / 1.75 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
xG 1.33 / 1.27 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.02
North Macedonia U21 @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.93
North Macedonia U21 @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.02 vs 1.93
Market price is 4.7% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.50 9.30
-2.00 9.60 8.30
-1.75 8.10 7.27
-1.50 5.95 5.05
-1.25 5.40 4.54
-1.00 4.90 4.00
-0.75 3.28 2.83
-0.25 2.33 2.00
0 1.98 1.75
+0.25 1.66 1.54
+0.75 1.33 1.25
+1.00 1.17 1.11
+1.25 1.13 1.09
+1.50 1.10 1.07
+1.75 1.05 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 6.40
-1.50 5.75 4.80
-1.25 5.50 4.40
-1.00 4.65 3.90
-0.75 3.45 2.85
-0.50 2.68 2.38
-0.25 2.35 2.08
0 2.02 1.78
+0.25 1.72 1.58
+0.50 1.55 1.45
+0.75 1.40 1.30
+1.00 1.24 1.18
+1.25 1.20 1.15
+1.50 1.18 1.14
+1.75 1.12 1.12

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.10 6.75
-1.50 5.95 5.05
-1.25 5.40 4.55
-1.00 4.90 4.00
-0.75 3.28 2.83
-0.25 2.28 2.00
0 1.98 1.75
+0.25 1.66 1.51
+0.75 1.33 1.25
+1.00 1.17 1.11
+1.25 1.13 1.09
+1.50 1.10 1.07
+1.75 1.04 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.83 4.05
-0.75 3.38 2.94
-0.50 2.72 2.42
-0.25 2.37 2.10
0 2.02 1.79
+0.25 1.71 1.56
+0.50 1.54 1.44
+0.75 1.38 1.30
+1.00 1.22 1.17
Primary Bets
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