Scotland has significant model value with a closing edge of 17.82 percentage points and strong steam (96). Despite the negative Elo difference, the xG differential is slightly positive, and the market is sharply repricing. Main risk: Scotland's Elo disadvantage against Morocco.
Uzbekistan shows the highest closing edge (27.16 percentage points) and strong model probability (38.92%) relative to market odds. The steam score is moderate but sufficient to support the bet. Main risk: Uzbekistan's underdog status and Elo disadvantage.
3Iraq vs NorwayWorld Cup
2026-06-15
下注Iraq 胜
13.00
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—
78
🔥
▾
入场
118天前
13.00
原因
Iraq has an exceptional closing edge (31.23 percentage points) and strong model probability (38.92%) compared to market odds. While the steam score is lower, the market repricing supports the value. Main risk: Iraq's low market probability and underdog status.
Suhul Shire has seen significant market steam with a 22.1% odds drift and a strong steam score of 99. Despite a slight Elo disadvantage, the sharp repricing suggests value on the away side. Main risk: Limited historical data and low xG differential.
Scotland's odds have drifted significantly, creating a closing edge of 17.82 percentage points. Strong steam and model probability suggest value despite a large Elo gap. Main risk: Elo disadvantage against Morocco.
3Belgium vs Egypt1-1
✗ 错误
World Cup
2026-06-15
下注Egypt 胜
5.75
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—
70
🔥
▾
入场
118天前
5.75
原因
Egypt has a strong closing edge of 13.44 percentage points and a favorable xG differential. Market steam supports the away side. Main risk: Belgium's higher Elo rating.
Uzbekistan shows a massive closing edge of 27.16 percentage points and a favorable xG differential. Odds movement suggests value. Main risk: Elo disadvantage against Colombia.
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决策生命周期
✓推荐已生成
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✓已收盘
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候选推荐 @
8.50
2026-06-11
放弃
Uzbekistan's odds have drifted higher, but the steam score and breadth percentage are moderate compared to the other candidate. Additionally, there is no model probability or closing edge data to support a bet. 主要风险: Lack of supporting data and limited historical pattern make this fixture less compelling.
2026-06-12
放弃
Uzbekistan's steam indicators are moderate, but the significant elo disadvantage and low market probability reduce confidence in backing the home side. 主要风险: Uzbekistan's weak comparative metrics against Colombia.
The draw for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands has seen significant odds movement and a high closing edge, but the low market probability and limited historical data make this a high-risk option. Main risk: Low probability of a draw in this matchup.