**Match Analysis: Cagliari vs AS Roma** Cagliari faces AS Roma in a match where the disparity between the two teams is evident based on recent form and historical data. Cagliari has struggled recently, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, while AS Roma has been dominant, winning the majority of their recent games. The weighted historical head-to-head (H2H) data further highlights AS Roma's superiority, with nearly a 99% probability of victory. Despite playing at home, Cagliari's lack of offensive firepower and defensive leaks make it challenging to predict any upset. AS Roma's solid squad depth and form give them a clear edge, with a predicted scoreline of 3-0 in favor of the visitors. --- ### Current Form & League Position | Team | League Position | Points | W-D-L | Goals For/Against | Home/Away Record | Last 5 Form | |-----------|----------------|--------|---------|------------------|-----------------|-----------------| | Cagliari | N/A | N/A | 0-2-3 | N/A | N/A | 0W-2D-3L | | AS Roma | N/A | N/A | 4-0-1 | N/A | N/A | 4W-0D-1L | Cagliari has struggled offensively and defensively, relying heavily on their defensive setup but conceding too often. Their key players, including E. Caprile in goal, have not been effective in mitigating losses. AS Roma, on the other hand, boasts a strong defensive line and midfield control, with players like G. Mancini and Z. Celik contributing to their recent dominance. Fatigue is unlikely to be a factor for Roma given their squad depth. --- ### Head-to-Head Record (H2H) | Total H2H | Cagliari Wins | AS Roma Wins | Draws | Avg Goals/Match | |-----------|--------------|--------------|-------|----------------| | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.5 | Recent meetings between the two sides have heavily favored AS Roma, with an average of 2.5 goals per match. Cagliari has not managed a win in their H2H history, reinforcing their underdog status. --- ### Expert Predictions & Odds | Source | Predicted Score | Win-Draw-Loss Probability | Key Reasons | |-----------|----------------|---------------------------|-----------------------------------------| | Source1 | 0-3 | 10%-20%-70% | Roma's dominant form, Cagliari's struggles | | Source2 | 0-2 | 15%-25%-60% | Roma's superior squad and H2H dominance | --- ### My Estimated Odds (Average Mainstream, Based on Current Data) #### Win-Draw-Loss: - Cagliari Win: **5.00** (20%) - Draw: **4.00** (25%) - AS Roma Win: **1.67** (55%) #### Total Goals: - Over 2.5: **1.85** - Under 2.5: **2.10** #### Both Teams to Score: - Yes: **2.50** - No: **1.55** #### Asian Handicap: - AS Roma -1.5: **2.10** - Cagliari +1.5: **1.80** --- ### Injuries & Suspensions **Cagliari**: Missing key offensive depth; defensive players like J. Rodriguez have struggled. **AS Roma**: No major injuries reported, although M. Svilar and E. Ndicka may rotate. --- ### Why AS Roma Will Win? 1. **H2H Advantage**: AS Roma has consistently dominated Cagliari in their last encounters. 2. **Superior Form**: Roma's recent record of 4W-0D-1L is far superior to Cagliari's 0W-2D-3L. 3. **Offensive Depth**: Roma's midfield and attacking fluidity are far superior. 4. **Defensive Solidity**: Mancini and Ndicka provide a strong defensive backbone. --- ### Betting Recommendations | Bet Type | Recommendation | Odds (My Estimate) | Reasons & Expected Value | |-----------------------|----------------|-------------------|-----------------------------------------| | Win-Draw-Loss | AS Roma Win | 1.67 | Roma's dominance in form and H2H | | Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.85 | Likely high goal count based on Roma's attack | | Both Teams to Score | No | 1.55 | Cagliari's weak offensive performance | | Asian Handicap | Roma -1.5 | 2.10 | High probability of a comfortable Roma win | **Top Pick**: AS Roma Win @ 1.67 (Strong form and H2H dominance); **Value Bet**: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 (Roma's scoring capacity). **Risk Warning**: Betting is inherently risky; while Roma is strongly favored, unexpected events (e.g., injuries, tactics) can impact results. Always wager responsibly.