Atlético Madrid II vs Sabadell Statistics & Analysis

May 08, 2026 - 19:15
4 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 31%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Atlético Madrid II Atlético Madrid II ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 4-3 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "45b35e91a36ab738dd77deee4f49efedff355fb0c4ec8ddb06f09bc25d820ec7",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Sabadell",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Sabadell"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.019,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3987,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 21,
        "away_failed_to_score": 11,
        "away_played": 35,
        "away_score_rate": 68.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 13,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 35,
        "home_score_rate": 77.1,
        "no_prob": 47.1,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 52.9,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 52.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.25,
        "home_expected": 1.1,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid II or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid II or Sabadell",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Sabadell",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Sabadell",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.35,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 41.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 58.3,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.35,
        "under_prob": 58.3
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 13.1
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.1475,
        "ev_yes": 0.058,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.058,
        "no_prob": 47.1,
        "sort_key": 10202.2,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 52.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0617,
        "ev_under": -0.0555,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0555,
        "over_prob": 41.7,
        "sort_key": 1786.125,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 58.3,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.064,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3987,
        "max_ev": -0.0638,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid II",
        "sort_key": 1784.05,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 819.3,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 13.1
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 9593,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/9593.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Sabadell",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1431480,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 9570,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9570.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid II",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 436,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/436.webp",
      "league_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n RFEF - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2901,
            "best_odd": 3.02,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0064,
            "ev": -0.0638,
            "implied_prob": 0.3036,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.31
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2815,
            "best_odd": 3.08,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0115,
            "ev": -0.1186,
            "implied_prob": 0.2977,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2862
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4372,
            "best_odd": 2.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0083,
            "ev": -0.064,
            "implied_prob": 0.3987,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.407
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.81,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.0,
          "edge_no": -0.0471,
          "edge_yes": 0.0471,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1475,
          "ev_yes": 0.058,
          "implied_no": 0.5181,
          "implied_yes": 0.4819,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.25,
          "best_under_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_over": -0.0022,
          "edge_under": 0.0022,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0617,
          "ev_under": -0.0555,
          "implied_over": 0.4192,
          "implied_under": 0.5808,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.058,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.529,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.417,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.583,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0083,
          "ev": -0.064,
          "implied_prob": 0.3987,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0471,
          "ev": 0.058,
          "implied_prob": 0.4819,
          "model_prob": 0.529,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0022,
          "ev": -0.0555,
          "implied_prob": 0.5808,
          "model_prob": 0.583,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1431480,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.058,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Sabadell",
        "home": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.030682,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.058,
        "implied_prob": 0.4819,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.529,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1431480,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T16:00:31.379434+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
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Quay lại Thống kê
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Primera División RFEF - Group 2Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Eldense 36 18 12 6 66
2 Sabadell 36 17 14 5 65
3 Atlético Madrid II 36 18 10 8 64
4 Villarreal II 36 15 14 7 59
5 Europa Fc 36 15 12 9 57
6 FC Cartagena 36 15 11 10 56
7 Algeciras 36 15 10 11 55
8 Antequera 36 14 8 14 50
9 Hércules 36 13 11 12 50
10 Teruel 36 12 12 12 48
11 Ibiza 36 12 11 13 47
12 Alcorcon 36 11 14 11 47
13 Real Murcia 36 12 10 14 46
14 Juventud Torremolinos 36 11 13 12 46
15 Tarazona 36 11 12 13 45
16 Gimnastic 36 12 7 17 43
17 Real Betis II 36 11 8 17 41
18 Marbella 36 8 7 21 31
19 Sanluqueño 36 7 8 21 29
20 Sevilla Atletico 36 5 12 19 27
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Atlético Madrid II 36 60 41 +19 64
2 Eldense 36 55 35 +20 66
3 Sabadell 36 51 26 +25 65
4 Villarreal II 36 51 31 +20 59
5 Europa Fc 36 51 46 +5 57
6 Antequera 36 43 43 0 50
7 Juventud Torremolinos 36 43 45 -2 46
8 Real Betis II 36 43 57 -14 41
9 Hércules 36 40 40 0 50
10 Ibiza 36 39 34 +5 47
11 Algeciras 36 39 36 +3 55
12 Alcorcon 36 37 35 +2 47
13 Real Murcia 36 37 39 -2 46
14 Gimnastic 36 37 47 -10 43
15 FC Cartagena 36 34 33 +1 56
16 Tarazona 36 31 35 -4 45
17 Marbella 36 31 48 -17 31
18 Teruel 36 26 30 -4 48
19 Sanluqueño 36 26 52 -26 29
20 Sevilla Atletico 36 20 41 -21 27