Thống kê / Bóng đá / Luxembourg. National Division / Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03

Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 Statistics & Analysis

May 08, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 53%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Progres Niederkorn FC Differdange 03 ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "36d96195025341795f8ab7174207a3c5686531259aff715b9de5ede46dd8db08",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or FC Differdange 03",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "50%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "0%",
      "winner_name": "FC Differdange 03"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Progres Niederkorn",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.2088,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2088,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 14,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 27,
        "away_score_rate": 88.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 66.7,
        "no_prob": 40.7,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 59.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 59.3
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.7,
        "home_expected": 1.05,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 6.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Progres Niederkorn or Draw",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Progres Niederkorn or FC Differdange 03",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or FC Differdange 03",
            "prob": 100.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or FC Differdange 03",
        "pick_prob": 100.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 50.0,
        "draw_pct": 50.0,
        "home_pct": 0.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.75,
        "under_prob": 48.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.4
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.2226,
        "ev_yes": 0.0615,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0615,
        "no_prob": 40.7,
        "sort_key": 10205.35,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 59.3
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0404,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2088,
        "max_ev": 0.0404,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Progres Niederkorn",
        "sort_key": 10036.36,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0139,
        "ev_under": -0.0861,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0139,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "sort_key": 1796.525,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 48.1,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 814.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.4
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 684,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/684.webp",
      "away_team_name": "FC Differdange 03",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/lu.svg",
      "country_name": "Luxembourg",
      "fixture_id": 1393709,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 658,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/658.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Progres Niederkorn",
      "league_country": "Luxembourg",
      "league_id": 261,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/261.webp",
      "league_name": "National Division",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 14:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4116,
            "best_odd": 1.71,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0861,
            "ev": -0.2326,
            "implied_prob": 0.5349,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.4488
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2998,
            "best_odd": 3.57,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0001,
            "ev": -0.0848,
            "implied_prob": 0.2562,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2564
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1374,
            "best_odd": 4.38,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0287,
            "ev": 0.0404,
            "implied_prob": 0.2088,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.2375
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.91,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.79,
          "edge_no": -0.0779,
          "edge_yes": 0.0779,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2226,
          "ev_yes": 0.0615,
          "implied_no": 0.4849,
          "implied_yes": 0.5151,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.9,
          "best_under_odd": 1.9,
          "edge_over": 0.0171,
          "edge_under": -0.0171,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0139,
          "ev_under": -0.0861,
          "implied_over": 0.5019,
          "implied_under": 0.4981,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0615,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.593,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.519,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.481,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0287,
          "ev": 0.0404,
          "implied_prob": 0.2088,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Progres Niederkorn"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0779,
          "ev": 0.0615,
          "implied_prob": 0.5151,
          "model_prob": 0.593,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0171,
          "ev": -0.0139,
          "implied_prob": 0.5019,
          "model_prob": 0.519,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1393709,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0615,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "FC Differdange 03",
        "home": "Progres Niederkorn"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.036469,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0615,
        "implied_prob": 0.5151,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.593,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1393709,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T13:59:08.147253+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
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Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Progres Niederkorn & FC Differdange 03!

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Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
National Division National DivisionBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 FC Differdange 03 28 18 8 2 62
2 Atert Bissen 28 18 5 5 59
3 UNA Strassen 28 17 5 6 56
4 US Mondorf-les-bains 28 18 2 8 56
5 F91 Dudelange 28 16 6 6 54
6 UN Kaerjeng 97 28 11 5 12 38
7 Victoria Rosport 28 10 5 13 35
8 Progres Niederkorn 28 9 7 12 34
9 AS Jeunesse Esch 28 8 10 10 34
10 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 28 9 7 12 34
11 US Hostert 28 9 6 13 33
12 Jeunesse Canach 28 9 3 16 30
13 Mamer 28 8 3 17 27
14 Swift Hesperange 28 7 5 16 26
15 Union Titus Petange 28 6 7 15 25
16 Rodange 91 28 6 6 16 24
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Atert Bissen 28 64 27 +37 59
2 FC Differdange 03 28 61 21 +40 62
3 UNA Strassen 28 56 25 +31 56
4 F91 Dudelange 28 54 35 +19 54
5 US Mondorf-les-bains 28 50 24 +26 56
6 UN Kaerjeng 97 28 43 44 -1 38
7 Progres Niederkorn 28 41 41 0 34
8 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 28 41 49 -8 34
9 Mamer 28 32 58 -26 27
10 AS Jeunesse Esch 28 31 33 -2 34
11 Victoria Rosport 28 31 43 -12 35
12 US Hostert 28 31 53 -22 33
13 Jeunesse Canach 28 29 39 -10 30
14 Rodange 91 28 26 58 -32 24
15 Swift Hesperange 28 25 44 -19 26
16 Union Titus Petange 28 24 45 -21 25