Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Luxembourg. National Division / Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport

Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 17, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Swift Hesperange Swift Hesperange ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
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  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "f72fc20ec2e58ddaa6ad3ceb3143c0bd7dccf7caefad0fddffb32150884e831c",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Victoria Rosport",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Victoria Rosport"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Swift Hesperange",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0415,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4592,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 7,
        "away_failed_to_score": 11,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 60.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 57.1,
        "no_prob": 65.3,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 65.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 34.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.3,
        "home_expected": 1.2,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Swift Hesperange or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Swift Hesperange or Victoria Rosport",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Victoria Rosport",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Victoria Rosport",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.5,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 45.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 54.4,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.5,
        "under_prob": 54.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Victoria Rosport",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Swift Hesperange",
      "largest_move_kind": "ou_o",
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.26,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 45.92,
          "gap_pp": -4.15,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 24.54,
          "gap_pp": 1.13,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.54,
          "gap_pp": 3.02,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 50.26,
          "gap_pp": -4.66,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 45.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 49.74,
          "gap_pp": 4.66,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 54.4
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.02,
          "early": 2.0,
          "implied_closing_pct": 45.92,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.17,
          "implied_early_pct": 45.75,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.78,
          "early": 3.7,
          "implied_closing_pct": 24.54,
          "implied_delta_pp": -0.19,
          "implied_early_pct": 24.73,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.14,
          "early": 3.1,
          "implied_closing_pct": 29.54,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.02,
          "implied_early_pct": 29.52,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.9,
          "early": 1.89,
          "implied_closing_pct": 50.26,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.26,
          "implied_early_pct": 50.0,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.92,
          "early": 1.89,
          "implied_closing_pct": 49.74,
          "implied_delta_pp": -0.26,
          "implied_early_pct": 50.0,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 4.7,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.3191,
        "ev_yes": -0.3927,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.3191,
        "no_prob": 65.3,
        "sort_key": 10437.19,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 34.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1108,
        "ev_under": 0.0282,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0282,
        "over_prob": 45.6,
        "sort_key": 5222.56,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 54.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1078,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4592,
        "max_ev": -0.0452,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Swift Hesperange",
        "sort_key": 1788.7,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 818.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.8
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2038,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2038.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Victoria Rosport",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/lu.svg",
      "country_name": "Luxembourg",
      "fixture_id": 1393715,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 11907,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11907.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Swift Hesperange",
      "league_country": "Luxembourg",
      "league_id": 261,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/261.webp",
      "league_name": "National Division",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 14:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2864,
            "best_odd": 3.14,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0087,
            "ev": -0.0452,
            "implied_prob": 0.2954,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3041
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2949,
            "best_odd": 3.78,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0033,
            "ev": -0.0598,
            "implied_prob": 0.2454,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2487
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.422,
            "best_odd": 2.02,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0175,
            "ev": -0.1078,
            "implied_prob": 0.4592,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4417
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.02,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.75,
          "edge_no": 0.1886,
          "edge_yes": -0.1886,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.3191,
          "ev_yes": -0.3927,
          "implied_no": 0.4644,
          "implied_yes": 0.5356,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.95,
          "best_under_odd": 1.89,
          "edge_over": -0.035,
          "edge_under": 0.035,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1108,
          "ev_under": 0.0282,
          "implied_over": 0.491,
          "implied_under": 0.509,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3191,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.347,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.456,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.544,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0175,
          "ev": -0.1078,
          "implied_prob": 0.4592,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Swift Hesperange"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1886,
          "ev": 0.3191,
          "implied_prob": 0.4644,
          "model_prob": 0.653,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.035,
          "ev": 0.0282,
          "implied_prob": 0.509,
          "model_prob": 0.544,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1393715,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3191,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Victoria Rosport",
        "home": "Swift Hesperange"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.208372,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3191,
        "implied_prob": 0.4644,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.653,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1393715,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:59:32.485256+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
National Division National DivisionBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Atert Bissen 30 20 5 5 65
2 FC Differdange 03 30 19 8 3 65
3 US Mondorf-les-bains 30 19 3 8 60
4 UNA Strassen 30 17 7 6 58
5 F91 Dudelange 30 17 7 6 58
6 AS Jeunesse Esch 30 10 10 10 40
7 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 30 11 7 12 40
8 UN Kaerjeng 97 30 11 5 14 38
9 US Hostert 30 10 6 14 36
10 Victoria Rosport 30 10 5 15 35
11 Progres Niederkorn 30 9 7 14 34
12 Swift Hesperange 30 9 5 16 32
13 Jeunesse Canach 30 9 4 17 31
14 Mamer 30 8 5 17 29
15 Union Titus Petange 30 6 7 17 25
16 Rodange 91 30 6 7 17 25
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Atert Bissen 30 70 27 +43 65
2 FC Differdange 03 30 63 22 +41 65
3 F91 Dudelange 30 59 38 +21 58
4 UNA Strassen 30 57 26 +31 58
5 US Mondorf-les-bains 30 51 24 +27 60
6 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 30 48 50 -2 40
7 Progres Niederkorn 30 44 47 -3 34
8 UN Kaerjeng 97 30 43 48 -5 38
9 AS Jeunesse Esch 30 35 34 +1 40
10 US Hostert 30 35 56 -21 36
11 Victoria Rosport 30 33 50 -17 35
12 Mamer 30 33 59 -26 29
13 Swift Hesperange 30 31 46 -15 32
14 Jeunesse Canach 30 29 44 -15 31
15 Rodange 91 30 28 65 -37 25
16 Union Titus Petange 30 26 49 -23 25