Thống kê / Bóng đá / Luxembourg. National Division / Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert

Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Swift Hesperange US Hostert ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 0-1 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "9f006236b2da6f6d3c737fc3fe6014e8e38bb86743ae88590c7403391fd18053",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Swift Hesperange or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Swift Hesperange"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Swift Hesperange",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0939,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3237,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 27,
        "away_score_rate": 66.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 59.3,
        "no_prob": 60.5,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 60.5,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 39.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.3,
        "home_expected": 1.45,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.1
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Swift Hesperange or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Swift Hesperange or US Hostert",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or US Hostert",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Swift Hesperange or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Swift Hesperange"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.75,
        "under_prob": 48.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.1
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.4278,
        "ev_yes": -0.3877,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.4278,
        "no_prob": 60.5,
        "sort_key": 10535.02,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 39.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1177,
        "ev_under": 0.0486,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0486,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "sort_key": 10043.74,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 48.1,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0189,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3237,
        "max_ev": 0.0189,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Swift Hesperange",
        "sort_key": 5215.12,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 816.3,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.1
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2040,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2040.webp",
      "away_team_name": "US Hostert",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/lu.svg",
      "country_name": "Luxembourg",
      "fixture_id": 1393707,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 11907,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11907.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Swift Hesperange",
      "league_country": "Luxembourg",
      "league_id": 261,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/261.webp",
      "league_name": "National Division",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 14:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3974,
            "best_odd": 2.27,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.031,
            "ev": -0.1541,
            "implied_prob": 0.4036,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3726
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2928,
            "best_odd": 3.36,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0047,
            "ev": -0.0996,
            "implied_prob": 0.2727,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.268
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3866,
            "best_odd": 2.83,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0363,
            "ev": 0.0189,
            "implied_prob": 0.3237,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.36
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.36,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.55,
          "edge_no": 0.2071,
          "edge_yes": -0.2071,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.4278,
          "ev_yes": -0.3877,
          "implied_no": 0.3979,
          "implied_yes": 0.6021,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.7,
          "best_under_odd": 2.18,
          "edge_over": -0.0429,
          "edge_under": 0.0429,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1177,
          "ev_under": 0.0486,
          "implied_over": 0.5619,
          "implied_under": 0.4381,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.4278,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.395,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.519,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.481,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0363,
          "ev": 0.0189,
          "implied_prob": 0.3237,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Swift Hesperange"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2071,
          "ev": 0.4278,
          "implied_prob": 0.3979,
          "model_prob": 0.605,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0429,
          "ev": 0.0486,
          "implied_prob": 0.4381,
          "model_prob": 0.481,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1393707,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.4278,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "US Hostert",
        "home": "Swift Hesperange"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.258819,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4278,
        "implied_prob": 0.3979,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.605,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1393707,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T13:59:16.225252+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Swift Hesperange & US Hostert!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
National Division National DivisionBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 FC Differdange 03 28 18 8 2 62
2 Atert Bissen 28 18 5 5 59
3 UNA Strassen 28 17 5 6 56
4 US Mondorf-les-bains 28 18 2 8 56
5 F91 Dudelange 28 16 6 6 54
6 UN Kaerjeng 97 28 11 5 12 38
7 Victoria Rosport 28 10 5 13 35
8 Progres Niederkorn 28 9 7 12 34
9 AS Jeunesse Esch 28 8 10 10 34
10 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 28 9 7 12 34
11 US Hostert 28 9 6 13 33
12 Jeunesse Canach 28 9 3 16 30
13 Mamer 28 8 3 17 27
14 Swift Hesperange 28 7 5 16 26
15 Union Titus Petange 28 6 7 15 25
16 Rodange 91 28 6 6 16 24
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Atert Bissen 28 64 27 +37 59
2 FC Differdange 03 28 61 21 +40 62
3 UNA Strassen 28 56 25 +31 56
4 F91 Dudelange 28 54 35 +19 54
5 US Mondorf-les-bains 28 50 24 +26 56
6 UN Kaerjeng 97 28 43 44 -1 38
7 Progres Niederkorn 28 41 41 0 34
8 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 28 41 49 -8 34
9 Mamer 28 32 58 -26 27
10 AS Jeunesse Esch 28 31 33 -2 34
11 Victoria Rosport 28 31 43 -12 35
12 US Hostert 28 31 53 -22 33
13 Jeunesse Canach 28 29 39 -10 30
14 Rodange 91 28 26 58 -32 24
15 Swift Hesperange 28 25 44 -19 26
16 Union Titus Petange 28 24 45 -21 25