Thống kê / Bóng đá / Ukraine. Premier League / Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty Statistics & Analysis

May 12, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.20
2 0.98
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "6581619e8670e9f38aebc382fd56c487bfc98b1a42ac48c88d525e66b8021199",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.98,
      "away_win_prob": 0.282,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3251,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.55,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.08,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.55,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.2,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3929,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.98,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0291,
        "edge_gap": 0.0676,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4218,
        "model_prob": 0.3927,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 28.2,
          "draw": 32.5,
          "home": 39.3
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.2
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.2,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.37,
        "market_odds": 2.2,
        "model_odds": 2.55,
        "overround": 7.8,
        "prob_edge": -6.2,
        "value_pct": -13.7,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 13,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 27,
        "away_score_rate": 62.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 14,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 69.9,
        "no_prob": 54.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 45.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.98,
        "home_expected": 1.2,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 13.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 11.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.1
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or Draw",
            "prob": 71.8
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or Karpaty",
            "prob": 67.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Karpaty",
            "prob": 60.7
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 71.8
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 28.2,
        "draw_pct": 32.5,
        "home_pct": 39.3,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.18,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 37.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 62.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.18,
        "under_prob": 62.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 4.3,
        "implied_prob": 31.2,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 32.5,
        "odds": 3.21
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Karpaty",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 42.18,
          "gap_pp": -2.91,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 39.27
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 28.91,
          "gap_pp": 3.61,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 32.52
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 28.91,
          "gap_pp": -0.7,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 28.21
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 47.51,
          "gap_pp": -10.31,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 37.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 52.49,
          "gap_pp": 10.31,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 62.8
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.2,
          "early": 2.2,
          "implied_closing_pct": 42.18,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.18,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.21,
          "early": 3.21,
          "implied_closing_pct": 28.91,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 28.91,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.21,
          "early": 3.21,
          "implied_closing_pct": 28.91,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 28.91,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.0,
          "early": 2.0,
          "implied_closing_pct": 47.51,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 47.51,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.81,
          "early": 1.81,
          "implied_closing_pct": 52.49,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 52.49,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 10.3,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 13.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.2,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2188,
        "ev_under": 0.1367,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1367,
        "over_prob": 37.2,
        "sort_key": 10273.03,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 62.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.092,
        "ev_yes": -0.1828,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.092,
        "no_prob": 54.6,
        "sort_key": 10082.8,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 45.4
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0995,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4218,
        "max_ev": -0.0392,
        "model_prob": 0.3927,
        "side_label": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv",
        "sort_key": 1790.2,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 820.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 13.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 3617,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3617.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Karpaty",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ua.svg",
      "country_name": "Ukraine",
      "fixture_id": 1391618,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 3628,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3628.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv",
      "league_country": "Ukraine",
      "league_id": 333,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/333.webp",
      "league_name": "Premier League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2969,
            "best_odd": 3.21,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0021,
            "ev": -0.0787,
            "implied_prob": 0.2891,
            "model_prob": 0.2821,
            "p_final": 0.287
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2838,
            "best_odd": 3.21,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0102,
            "ev": -0.0392,
            "implied_prob": 0.2891,
            "model_prob": 0.3252,
            "p_final": 0.2993
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4304,
            "best_odd": 2.2,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0125,
            "ev": -0.0995,
            "implied_prob": 0.4218,
            "model_prob": 0.3927,
            "p_final": 0.4093
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.0,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.8,
          "edge_no": 0.0641,
          "edge_yes": -0.0641,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.092,
          "ev_yes": -0.1828,
          "implied_no": 0.4819,
          "implied_yes": 0.5181,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.1,
          "best_under_odd": 1.81,
          "edge_over": -0.088,
          "edge_under": 0.088,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2188,
          "ev_under": 0.1367,
          "implied_over": 0.46,
          "implied_under": 0.54,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.18,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1367,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.454,
          "draw_prob": 0.3252,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3927,
          "over_prob": 0.372,
          "total_xg": 2.18,
          "under_prob": 0.628,
          "xg_diff": 0.22
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0125,
          "ev": -0.0995,
          "implied_prob": 0.4218,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3927,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0641,
          "ev": 0.092,
          "implied_prob": 0.4819,
          "model_prob": 0.546,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.088,
          "ev": 0.1367,
          "implied_prob": 0.54,
          "model_prob": 0.628,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1391618,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1367,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2821,
        "draw": 0.3252,
        "home": 0.3927
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Karpaty",
        "home": "Metalist 1925 Kharkiv"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.085848,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1367,
        "implied_prob": 0.54,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.628,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1391618,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:57:48.849374+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Metalist 1925 Kharkiv & Karpaty!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Premier League Premier LeagueBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 28 21 6 1 69
2 LNZ Cherkasy 28 17 6 5 57
3 Polessya 28 17 4 7 55
4 Dynamo Kyiv 29 16 6 7 54
5 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 29 12 12 5 48
6 Kryvbas KR 28 13 8 7 47
7 Kolos Kovalivka 28 12 10 6 46
8 Zorya Luhansk 28 11 9 8 42
9 Karpaty 28 9 11 8 38
10 Veres Rivne 28 7 10 11 31
11 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 29 8 7 14 31
12 Obolon'-Brovar 28 6 10 12 28
13 Kudrivka 28 6 7 15 25
14 Ruh Lviv 28 6 3 19 21
15 Oleksandria 28 2 7 19 13
16 SK Poltava 29 2 6 21 12
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 28 68 18 +50 69
2 Dynamo Kyiv 29 63 34 +29 54
3 Kryvbas KR 28 50 42 +8 47
4 Polessya 28 49 21 +28 55
5 Zorya Luhansk 28 40 35 +5 42
6 LNZ Cherkasy 28 38 16 +22 57
7 Karpaty 28 37 29 +8 38
8 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 29 36 45 -9 31
9 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 29 35 19 +16 48
10 Kolos Kovalivka 28 29 23 +6 46
11 Kudrivka 28 29 45 -16 25
12 Veres Rivne 28 26 37 -11 31
13 Obolon'-Brovar 28 26 48 -22 28
14 SK Poltava 29 23 74 -51 12
15 Oleksandria 28 20 56 -36 13
16 Ruh Lviv 28 19 46 -27 21
# ĐỘI MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Dynamo Kyiv 29 30.7 10.1 +20.6 54
2 Shakhtar Donetsk 28 29.8 9.8 +20.0 69
3 Polessya 28 35.3 17.0 +18.3 55
4 LNZ Cherkasy 28 27.3 12.2 +15.1 57
5 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 29 22.0 12.7 +9.3 48
6 Karpaty 28 24.4 20.0 +4.4 38
7 Kolos Kovalivka 28 22.6 22.2 +0.4 46
8 Zorya Luhansk 28 21.1 21.2 -0.1 42
9 Veres Rivne 28 12.6 16.5 -3.9 31
10 Ruh Lviv 28 16.1 21.5 -5.4 21
11 Obolon'-Brovar 28 17.2 23.2 -6.0 28
12 Kryvbas KR 28 21.4 27.8 -6.4 47
13 Kudrivka 28 14.9 27.4 -12.5 25
14 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 29 18.9 32.2 -13.3 31
15 Oleksandria 28 10.5 25.0 -14.5 13
16 SK Poltava 29 10.1 36.0 -25.9 12