Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.3637,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.317,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.75,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.15,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.13,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.11,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3193,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Gornik Zabrze and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Gornik Zabrze"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.2,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Gornik Zabrze",
      "confidence": null,
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        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1014,
        "edge_gap": 0.0441,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4648,
        "model_prob": 0.3634,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 31.7,
          "home": 31.9
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        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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        {
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.07
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.07,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Gornik Zabrze Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.15,
        "market_odds": 2.07,
        "model_odds": 2.75,
        "overround": 3.9,
        "prob_edge": -11.9,
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        "value_rating": "no_value"
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        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 69.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 67.0,
        "no_prob": 51.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 48.6
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        "home_expected": 1.11,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 13.2
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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            "away": 2,
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        "source": "xG"
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            "label": "Wisla Plock or Draw",
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            "key": "12",
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          {
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            "prob": 68.1
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Wisla Plock or Gornik Zabrze",
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      },
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        "draw_pct": 31.7,
        "home_pct": 31.9,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Gornik Zabrze"
      },
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        "avg_total": 2.31,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 40.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "under_prob": 59.3
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        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Wisla Plock Win",
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        "odds": 3.79
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Gornik Zabrze",
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      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
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      "early_capture": "PRE30",
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          "closing": 3.79,
          "early": 3.79,
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        {
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        "value_side": "under"
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        "implied_prob": 0.4648,
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        "tier": "lean"
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      "away_team_id": 340,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/340.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Gornik Zabrze",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1380679,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 341,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/341.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Wisla Plock",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 106,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
      "league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
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          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "n_bookmakers": 9,
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          "implied_over": 0.4751,
          "implied_under": 0.5249,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
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      "total_xg": 2.31,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "algorithm": {
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      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
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          "implied_prob": 0.2539,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.3193,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Wisla Plock",
          "slot": "longshot"
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          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Gornik Zabrze"
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          "value_side": "no"
        },
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "model_prob": 0.593,
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        "max_valid_ev": 0.1089,
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
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      },
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        "away": 0.3634,
        "draw": 0.3173,
        "home": 0.3193
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "longshot_high_variance"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Gornik Zabrze",
        "home": "Wisla Plock"
      },
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        "composite_score": 0.045204,
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        "ev": 0.1089,
        "implied_prob": 0.5249,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.593,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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      "valid_markets_count": 3
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  "fixture_id": 1380679,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T16:00:53.322677+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}