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{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "474d13dfe55487a5d0e056f4697b66b9a22844d067449c7599cdc1e2340ac166",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.75,
"away_win_prob": 0.0865,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.1805,
"fair_odds_away": 11.56,
"fair_odds_draw": 5.54,
"fair_odds_home": 1.36,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.42,
"home_win_prob": 0.733,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Lech Poznan",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Lech Poznan"
},
"away_xg": 0.75,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Lech Poznan",
"confidence": 73.4,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Lech Poznan",
"edge": 0.0629,
"edge_gap": 0.5535,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.6707,
"model_prob": 0.7336,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 8.6,
"draw": 18.0,
"home": 73.4
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Lech Poznan"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 1.44
},
{
"affi_link": null,
"bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
"odd": 1.42
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 1.39
},
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 1.38
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.37
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"odd": 1.36
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"odd": 1.36
}
],
"risk_color": "#ff9800",
"risk_key": "medium_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.44,
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"display_market": "Lech Poznan Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.49,
"market_odds": 1.39,
"model_odds": 1.36,
"overround": 7.4,
"prob_edge": 4.1,
"value_pct": 5.9,
"value_rating": "small_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 7,
"away_failed_to_score": 13,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 52.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 10,
"home_failed_to_score": 4,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 91.1,
"no_prob": 50.9,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 49.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.75,
"home_expected": 2.42,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 12.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 9.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 7.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Lech Poznan or Draw",
"prob": 91.4
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Lech Poznan or Wisla Plock",
"prob": 81.9
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Wisla Plock",
"prob": 26.7
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Lech Poznan or Draw",
"pick_prob": 91.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 8.6,
"draw_pct": 18.1,
"home_pct": 73.3,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Lech Poznan"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.17,
"away_avg_scored": 1.0,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.8,
"over_prob": 61.4,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 61.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.17,
"under_prob": 38.6
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"edge": 5.9,
"implied_prob": 69.4,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Lech Poznan Win",
"model_prob": 73.5,
"odds": 1.44
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 12.3
}
},
"home_xg": 2.42,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0434,
"ev_yes": -0.1408,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0434,
"no_prob": 50.9,
"sort_key": 10039.06,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 49.1
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0483,
"ev_under": -0.0311,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0311,
"over_prob": 61.4,
"sort_key": 1792.225,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 38.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0325,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.6682,
"max_ev": -0.0325,
"model_prob": 0.7336,
"side_label": "Lech Poznan",
"sort_key": 1791.875,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-0",
"top_prob": 12.3
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 341,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/341.webp",
"away_team_name": "Wisla Plock",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1380684,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 347,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/347.webp",
"home_team_name": "Lech Poznan",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 106,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
"league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1835,
"best_odd": 6.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0101,
"ev": -0.1469,
"implied_prob": 0.1414,
"model_prob": 0.0863,
"p_final": 0.1313
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1969,
"best_odd": 4.825,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.002,
"ev": -0.091,
"implied_prob": 0.1904,
"model_prob": 0.1801,
"p_final": 0.1884
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5412,
"best_odd": 1.375,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0354,
"ev": -0.0325,
"implied_prob": 0.6682,
"model_prob": 0.7336,
"p_final": 0.7036
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.05,
"best_yes_odd": 1.75,
"edge_no": 0.0524,
"edge_yes": -0.0524,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0434,
"ev_yes": -0.1408,
"implied_no": 0.4566,
"implied_yes": 0.5434,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.55,
"best_under_odd": 2.51,
"edge_over": -0.002,
"edge_under": 0.002,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0483,
"ev_under": -0.0311,
"implied_over": 0.616,
"implied_under": 0.384,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.17,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0434,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [],
"breakdown_resolved": [],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.491,
"draw_prob": 0.1801,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.7336,
"over_prob": 0.614,
"total_xg": 3.17,
"under_prob": 0.386,
"xg_diff": 1.67
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0434,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4566,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.509,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "no",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0354,
"ev": -0.0325,
"implied_prob": 0.6682,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.7336,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Lech Poznan"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0524,
"ev": 0.0434,
"implied_prob": 0.4566,
"model_prob": 0.509,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.002,
"ev": -0.0311,
"implied_prob": 0.384,
"model_prob": 0.386,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1380684,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0434,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.0863,
"draw": 0.1801,
"home": 0.7336
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Wisla Plock",
"home": "Lech Poznan"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1380684,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T04:22:02.519191+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Ekstraklasa — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | ĐỘI | MP | T | H | B | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 59 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 53 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 53 |
| 4 | Raków Częstochowa | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 52 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Legia Warszawa | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 46 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 44 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 44 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 43 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 42 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 41 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 33 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 41 |
| 15 | Widzew Łódź | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 |
| 18 | Nieciecza | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 28 |
| # | ĐỘI | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 33 | 60 | 43 | +17 | 59 |
| 2 | Lechia Gdansk | 33 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 38 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 33 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | GKS Katowice | 33 | 50 | 44 | +6 | 49 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 33 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 44 |
| 6 | Raków Częstochowa | 33 | 48 | 40 | +8 | 52 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 33 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 44 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 33 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 33 | 45 | 37 | +8 | 48 |
| 10 | Gornik Zabrze | 33 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 53 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 33 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 33 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 33 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 39 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa | 33 | 38 | 37 | +1 | 46 |
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 33 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 41 |
| 16 | Nieciecza | 32 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 28 |
| 17 | Wisla Plock | 33 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 45 |
| 18 | Arka Gdynia | 32 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 36 |
| # | ĐỘI | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 33 | 59.8 | 34.6 | +25.2 | 59 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 33 | 44.3 | 34.9 | +9.4 | 46 |
| 3 | Raków Częstochowa | 33 | 52.1 | 43.1 | +9.0 | 52 |
| 4 | Piast Gliwice | 33 | 45.4 | 40.2 | +5.2 | 41 |
| 5 | Lechia Gdansk | 33 | 48.3 | 43.9 | +4.4 | 38 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 33 | 52.4 | 48.2 | +4.2 | 44 |
| 7 | Gornik Zabrze | 33 | 41.5 | 39.4 | +2.1 | 53 |
| 8 | Cracovia Krakow | 33 | 38.1 | 36.2 | +1.9 | 41 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 33 | 38.2 | 37.2 | +1.0 | 39 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 33 | 49.6 | 49.8 | -0.2 | 42 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 33 | 42.0 | 43.8 | -1.8 | 44 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 33 | 41.6 | 44.2 | -2.6 | 45 |
| 13 | GKS Katowice | 33 | 41.1 | 45.5 | -4.4 | 49 |
| 14 | Jagiellonia | 33 | 42.4 | 48.3 | -5.9 | 53 |
| 15 | Zaglebie Lubin | 33 | 33.5 | 42.8 | -9.3 | 48 |
| 16 | Nieciecza | 32 | 41.1 | 53.0 | -11.9 | 28 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 33 | 39.5 | 52.2 | -12.7 | 43 |
| 18 | Arka Gdynia | 32 | 34.1 | 47.9 | -13.8 | 36 |
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