Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa

Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 10:15
1 1.79
3 1.26
xG Accuracy: 50%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "6617d9bf5c304a5ae19580b4bf12f34cfdb10430ac9c9d85ccc8f1847323c061",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.26,
      "away_win_prob": 0.2558,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2596,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.91,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.85,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.06,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.79,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4847,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Piast Gliwice",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.26,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Piast Gliwice",
      "confidence": 48.5,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "Winner : Piast Gliwice",
        "edge": 0.1376,
        "edge_gap": 0.2255,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3474,
        "model_prob": 0.485,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 25.6,
          "draw": 25.9,
          "home": 48.5
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Piast Gliwice"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.76
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.76,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Piast Gliwice Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.88,
        "market_odds": 2.76,
        "model_odds": 2.06,
        "overround": 4.3,
        "prob_edge": 12.3,
        "value_pct": 34.0,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 71.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 83.3,
        "no_prob": 38.9,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 61.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 61.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.26,
        "home_expected": 1.79,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 7.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 6.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Piast Gliwice or Draw",
            "prob": 74.5
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Piast Gliwice or Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
            "prob": 74.1
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
            "prob": 51.6
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Piast Gliwice or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 74.5
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 25.6,
        "draw_pct": 26.0,
        "home_pct": 48.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Piast Gliwice"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.05,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "over_prob": 58.8,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 58.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.05,
        "under_prob": 41.2
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 34.0,
        "implied_prob": 36.2,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Piast Gliwice Win",
        "model_prob": 48.5,
        "odds": 2.76
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Piast Gliwice",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 34.74,
          "gap_pp": 13.76,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 48.5
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.03,
          "gap_pp": -5.08,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.95
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 34.24,
          "gap_pp": -8.69,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 25.55
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 46.77,
          "gap_pp": 12.03,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 58.8
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 53.23,
          "gap_pp": -12.03,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 41.2
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.76,
          "early": 2.76,
          "implied_closing_pct": 34.74,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 34.74,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.09,
          "early": 3.09,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.03,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.03,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.8,
          "early": 2.8,
          "implied_closing_pct": 34.24,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 34.24,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.06,
          "early": 2.06,
          "implied_closing_pct": 46.77,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 46.77,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.81,
          "early": 1.81,
          "implied_closing_pct": 53.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 53.23,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 13.8,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 10.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.79,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.2054,
        "ev_under": -0.2419,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2054,
        "over_prob": 58.8,
        "sort_key": 10334.86,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 41.2,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0943,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3474,
        "max_ev": 0.0943,
        "model_prob": 0.485,
        "side_label": "Piast Gliwice",
        "sort_key": 10084.87,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.2026,
        "ev_yes": 0.0815,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0815,
        "no_prob": 38.9,
        "sort_key": 10073.35,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 61.1
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 812.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 10.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 3491,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3491.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1380677,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 349,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/349.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Piast Gliwice",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 106,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
      "league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3914,
            "best_odd": 2.8,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.034,
            "ev": -0.1365,
            "implied_prob": 0.3424,
            "model_prob": 0.2555,
            "p_final": 0.3084
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2772,
            "best_odd": 3.09,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0141,
            "ev": -0.0848,
            "implied_prob": 0.3103,
            "model_prob": 0.2595,
            "p_final": 0.2962
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3571,
            "best_odd": 2.76,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0491,
            "ev": 0.0943,
            "implied_prob": 0.3474,
            "model_prob": 0.485,
            "p_final": 0.3965
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.05,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.77,
          "edge_no": -0.0752,
          "edge_yes": 0.0752,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2026,
          "ev_yes": 0.0815,
          "implied_no": 0.4642,
          "implied_yes": 0.5358,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.05,
          "best_under_odd": 1.84,
          "edge_over": 0.1141,
          "edge_under": -0.1141,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.2054,
          "ev_under": -0.2419,
          "implied_over": 0.4739,
          "implied_under": 0.5261,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.05,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2054,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.611,
          "draw_prob": 0.2595,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.485,
          "over_prob": 0.588,
          "total_xg": 3.05,
          "under_prob": 0.412,
          "xg_diff": 0.53
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0491,
          "ev": 0.0943,
          "implied_prob": 0.3474,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.485,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Piast Gliwice"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0752,
          "ev": 0.0815,
          "implied_prob": 0.5358,
          "model_prob": 0.611,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1141,
          "ev": 0.2054,
          "implied_prob": 0.4739,
          "model_prob": 0.588,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1380677,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2054,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2555,
        "draw": 0.2595,
        "home": 0.485
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0815,
        "implied_prob": 0.5358,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.611,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0815,
          "implied_prob": 0.5358,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.611,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "yes",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
        "home": "Piast Gliwice"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.150969,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2054,
        "implied_prob": 0.4739,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.588,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1380677,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T16:01:05.156343+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Piast Gliwice & Raków Częstochowa!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Ekstraklasa EkstraklasaBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 16 11 6 59
2 Jagiellonia 33 14 11 8 53
3 Gornik Zabrze 33 15 8 10 53
4 Raków Częstochowa 33 15 7 11 52
5 GKS Katowice 33 14 7 12 49
6 Zaglebie Lubin 33 13 9 11 48
7 Legia Warszawa 33 11 13 9 46
8 Wisla Plock 33 12 9 12 45
9 Radomiak Radom 33 11 11 11 44
10 Pogon Szczecin 33 13 5 15 44
11 Motor Lublin 33 10 13 10 43
12 Korona Kielce 33 11 9 13 42
13 Piast Gliwice 33 11 8 14 41
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 9 14 10 41
15 Widzew Łódź 33 11 6 16 39
16 Lechia Gdansk 33 12 7 14 38
17 Arka Gdynia 32 9 9 14 36
18 Nieciecza 32 7 7 18 28
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 60 43 +17 59
2 Lechia Gdansk 33 60 62 -2 38
3 Jagiellonia 33 55 41 +14 53
4 GKS Katowice 33 50 44 +6 49
5 Radomiak Radom 33 50 47 +3 44
6 Raków Częstochowa 33 48 40 +8 52
7 Pogon Szczecin 33 46 48 -2 44
8 Motor Lublin 33 46 49 -3 43
9 Zaglebie Lubin 33 45 37 +8 48
10 Gornik Zabrze 33 44 36 +8 53
11 Piast Gliwice 33 41 44 -3 41
12 Korona Kielce 33 39 39 0 42
13 Widzew Łódź 33 39 40 -1 39
14 Legia Warszawa 33 38 37 +1 46
15 Cracovia Krakow 33 38 41 -3 41
16 Nieciecza 32 37 61 -24 28
17 Wisla Plock 33 32 36 -4 45
18 Arka Gdynia 32 32 55 -23 36
# ĐỘI MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 59.8 34.6 +25.2 59
2 Legia Warszawa 33 44.3 34.9 +9.4 46
3 Raków Częstochowa 33 52.1 43.1 +9.0 52
4 Piast Gliwice 33 45.4 40.2 +5.2 41
5 Lechia Gdansk 33 48.3 43.9 +4.4 38
6 Pogon Szczecin 33 52.4 48.2 +4.2 44
7 Gornik Zabrze 33 41.5 39.4 +2.1 53
8 Cracovia Krakow 33 38.1 36.2 +1.9 41
9 Widzew Łódź 33 38.2 37.2 +1.0 39
10 Korona Kielce 33 49.6 49.8 -0.2 42
11 Radomiak Radom 33 42.0 43.8 -1.8 44
12 Wisla Plock 33 41.6 44.2 -2.6 45
13 GKS Katowice 33 41.1 45.5 -4.4 49
14 Jagiellonia 33 42.4 48.3 -5.9 53
15 Zaglebie Lubin 33 33.5 42.8 -9.3 48
16 Nieciecza 32 41.1 53.0 -11.9 28
17 Motor Lublin 33 39.5 52.2 -12.7 43
18 Arka Gdynia 32 34.1 47.9 -13.8 36