Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia

Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Statistics & Analysis

May 13, 2026 - 18:30
0 2.15
2 1.11
xG Accuracy: 43%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Raków Częstochowa Jagiellonia ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "7228dcb867d501c203b22876ab2ec9748dabaadbb8d835198697abf354a41ac6",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.11,
      "away_win_prob": 0.1756,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2254,
      "fair_odds_away": 5.7,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.44,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.67,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.15,
      "home_win_prob": 0.5991,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "No predictions available",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
      "percent_away": "33%",
      "percent_draw": "33%",
      "percent_home": "33%",
      "winner_name": null
    },
    "away_xg": 1.11,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
      "confidence": 59.9,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "high",
        "display_text": "Winner : Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
        "edge": 0.1559,
        "edge_gap": 0.3738,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4432,
        "model_prob": 0.5991,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 17.6,
          "draw": 22.5,
          "home": 59.9
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.17
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.17,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.26,
        "market_odds": 2.17,
        "model_odds": 1.67,
        "overround": 4.0,
        "prob_edge": 13.8,
        "value_pct": 29.9,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 6,
        "away_played": 31,
        "away_score_rate": 67.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 31,
        "home_score_rate": 88.4,
        "no_prob": 39.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 60.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 60.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.11,
        "home_expected": 2.15,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 7.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa or Draw",
            "prob": 82.4
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa or Jagiellonia",
            "prob": 77.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Jagiellonia",
            "prob": 40.1
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 82.4
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 17.6,
        "draw_pct": 22.5,
        "home_pct": 59.9,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.26,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 63.2,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 63.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.26,
        "under_prob": 36.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 30.0,
        "implied_prob": 46.1,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa Win",
        "model_prob": 59.9,
        "odds": 2.17
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-1",
        "prob": 9.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 2.15,
    "homepage_pick": {
      "best_bookmaker": "Unibet",
      "best_odds": 2.12,
      "confidence": "moderate",
      "display_label": "Home Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
      "edge": 12.7,
      "ev": 26.9,
      "probability": 59.9
    },
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.1439,
        "ev_under": -0.2272,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1439,
        "over_prob": 63.2,
        "sort_key": 10279.51,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 36.8,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0784,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4432,
        "max_ev": 0.0784,
        "model_prob": 0.5991,
        "side_label": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
        "sort_key": 10070.56,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.0892,
        "ev_yes": 0.0087,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0087,
        "no_prob": 39.6,
        "sort_key": 5206.96,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 60.4
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 809.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-1",
        "top_prob": 9.8
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 336,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/336.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Jagiellonia",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1380661,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 3491,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3491.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 106,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
      "league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-13 18:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 8.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2535,
            "best_odd": 3.45,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0262,
            "ev": -0.1285,
            "implied_prob": 0.2788,
            "model_prob": 0.1755,
            "p_final": 0.2526
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2763,
            "best_odd": 3.46,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0145,
            "ev": -0.0885,
            "implied_prob": 0.278,
            "model_prob": 0.2253,
            "p_final": 0.2634
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3448,
            "best_odd": 2.17,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0537,
            "ev": 0.0784,
            "implied_prob": 0.4432,
            "model_prob": 0.5991,
            "p_final": 0.497
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.3,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.67,
          "edge_no": -0.0338,
          "edge_yes": 0.0338,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.0892,
          "ev_yes": 0.0087,
          "implied_no": 0.4298,
          "implied_yes": 0.5702,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.81,
          "best_under_odd": 2.1,
          "edge_over": 0.1,
          "edge_under": -0.1,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.1439,
          "ev_under": -0.2272,
          "implied_over": 0.532,
          "implied_under": 0.468,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.26,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1439,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.604,
          "draw_prob": 0.2253,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5991,
          "over_prob": 0.632,
          "total_xg": 3.26,
          "under_prob": 0.368,
          "xg_diff": 1.04
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0537,
          "ev": 0.0784,
          "implied_prob": 0.4432,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.5991,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0338,
          "ev": 0.0087,
          "implied_prob": 0.5702,
          "model_prob": 0.604,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1,
          "ev": 0.1439,
          "implied_prob": 0.532,
          "model_prob": 0.632,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1380661,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1439,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1755,
        "draw": 0.2253,
        "home": 0.5991
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Jagiellonia",
        "home": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.090945,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1439,
        "implied_prob": 0.532,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.632,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1380661,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-13T18:29:04.906484+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
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  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Raków Częstochowa & Jagiellonia!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Ekstraklasa EkstraklasaBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Lech Poznan 33 16 11 6 59
2 Gornik Zabrze 33 15 8 10 53
3 Jagiellonia 32 14 10 8 52
4 Raków Częstochowa 32 14 7 11 49
5 Zaglebie Lubin 33 13 9 11 48
6 GKS Katowice 32 14 6 12 48
7 Wisla Plock 33 12 9 12 45
8 Radomiak Radom 33 11 11 11 44
9 Pogon Szczecin 33 13 5 15 44
10 Legia Warszawa 32 10 13 9 43
11 Motor Lublin 33 10 13 10 43
12 Korona Kielce 33 11 9 13 42
13 Piast Gliwice 32 11 8 13 41
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 9 14 10 41
15 Widzew Łódź 33 11 6 16 39
16 Lechia Gdansk 32 12 7 13 38
17 Arka Gdynia 32 9 9 14 36
18 Nieciecza 32 7 7 18 28
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Lech Poznan 33 60 43 +17 59
2 Lechia Gdansk 32 59 60 -1 38
3 Jagiellonia 32 53 39 +14 52
4 Radomiak Radom 33 50 47 +3 44
5 GKS Katowice 32 48 42 +6 48
6 Pogon Szczecin 33 46 48 -2 44
7 Motor Lublin 33 46 49 -3 43
8 Zaglebie Lubin 33 45 37 +8 48
9 Raków Częstochowa 32 45 39 +6 49
10 Gornik Zabrze 33 44 36 +8 53
11 Piast Gliwice 32 40 41 -1 41
12 Korona Kielce 33 39 39 0 42
13 Widzew Łódź 33 39 40 -1 39
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 38 41 -3 41
15 Nieciecza 32 37 61 -24 28
16 Legia Warszawa 32 36 36 0 43
17 Wisla Plock 33 32 36 -4 45
18 Arka Gdynia 32 32 55 -23 36
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Lech Poznan 33 58.4 34.1 +24.3 59
2 Raków Częstochowa 32 51.3 39.8 +11.5 49
3 Legia Warszawa 32 42.8 33.9 +8.9 43
4 Lechia Gdansk 32 47.2 42.3 +4.9 38
5 Pogon Szczecin 33 50.5 47.6 +2.9 44
6 Piast Gliwice 32 42.1 39.4 +2.7 41
7 Cracovia Krakow 33 36.6 34.5 +2.1 41
8 Gornik Zabrze 33 40.5 38.7 +1.8 53
9 Widzew Łódź 33 37.6 36.4 +1.2 39
10 Korona Kielce 33 48.8 49.2 -0.4 42
11 Radomiak Radom 33 41.5 42.4 -0.9 44
12 Wisla Plock 33 40.9 43.2 -2.3 45
13 GKS Katowice 32 40.0 43.4 -3.4 48
14 Jagiellonia 32 40.3 47.1 -6.8 52
15 Zaglebie Lubin 33 32.9 40.9 -8.0 48
16 Nieciecza 32 41.1 53.0 -11.9 28
17 Motor Lublin 33 37.8 50.7 -12.9 43
18 Arka Gdynia 32 34.1 47.9 -13.8 36