Predictions / Football / Derby

Derby Match Predictions, Stats & AI Betting Insights

England Founded: 1884 DER

Explore Derby's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Derby have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.2 goals per match on average. Recent form shows a W-W-L-W-W pattern, with a 2-game winning streak building momentum. They perform similarly at home (40% win rate) and away (47%). With 60% of recent matches finishing Under 2.5 goals, Derby are typically involved in low-scoring encounters.

Current Form
W W L W W
Win Rate
50%
Record (Last 10)
5W 1D 4L
Prediction Accuracy
60%

Upcoming Derby Matches (7)

Date
League
Match
Advice
Apr 03
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Coventry Coventry
Derby Derby
45% 45% 10% PREDICTION
Double chance : Coventry or draw
Advice: Double chance : Coventry or draw
Apr 06
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Stoke City Stoke City
45% 45% 10% PREDICTION
Double chance : Derby or draw
Advice: Double chance : Derby or draw
Apr 11
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Southampton Southampton
Derby Derby
Apr 18
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Oxford United Oxford United
Apr 21
18:45
Championship Championship
Championship
Norwich Norwich
Derby Derby
Apr 25
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
QPR QPR
Derby Derby
May 02
11:30
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd

Recent Results & Statistics for Derby (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome
Mar 21
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Birmingham Birmingham
1-0
✔ Covered
Mar 16
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby Derby
0-1
✔ Covered
Mar 10
L
Championship Championship
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Derby Derby
1-0
✔ Covered
Mar 07
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
2-1
✔ Covered
Feb 28
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Blackburn Blackburn
3-1
✖ Not Covered
Feb 24
L
Championship Championship
Championship
Hull City Hull City
Derby Derby
4-2
✖ Not Covered
Feb 21
L
Championship Championship
Championship
Watford Watford
Derby Derby
2-0
✖ Not Covered
Feb 14
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Swansea Swansea
2-0
✖ Not Covered
Feb 07
L
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Ipswich Ipswich
1-2
✔ Covered
Jan 23
D
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
West Brom West Brom
1-1
✔ Covered

Derby Stats & Trends

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 13
Goals Conceded 12
Avg. Goals Scored 1.3
Avg. Goals Conceded 1.2

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 5
Draws 1
Losses 4
Win Rate 50%
Prediction Accuracy 60% (6/10)

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 6 out of 10 recent Derby matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (67% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (50%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%
Home Accuracy 67%
Away Accuracy 50%

Attacking Trends

Derby average 1.3 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.6 shots per game with 3.6 on target (31.0% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.29 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. Their 48% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.3
Avg. Shots 11.6
Shot Accuracy 31.0%
Avg. xG 1.29
Possession 48%

Home vs Away Performance

Derby show little home advantage with a 40% home win rate (8W in 20 games) vs 47% on the road (9W in 19 games). At home, they score 1.4 goals/game and concede 1.2, while away they score 1.5 and concede 1.2.

Home Win Rate 40%
Away Win Rate 47%
Home Goals/Game 1.4
Away Goals/Game 1.5

Goal Distribution

Derby's goals are predominantly scored in the first half, with 67% coming before half-time and 33% after. Their most dangerous period is the 31-45 minute window, accounting for 33% of goals.

22%
0-15'
11%
16-30'
33%
31-45'
11%
46-60'
11%
61-75'
11%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 67%
2nd Half Goals 33%
Peak Period 31-45 min (33%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Derby's last 10 matches, 4 games (40%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 6 (60%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 1.3 + conceded 1.2). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 40%
Under 2.5 60%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5
BTTS Rate 50%

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