Predictions / Football / Derby

Derby Match Predictions, Stats & AI Betting Insights

England Founded: 1884 DER

Explore Derby's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Derby have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Their defensive record remains a concern, conceding 1.5 goals per match on average. Recent form shows a W-W-L-L-W pattern, with a 2-game winning streak building momentum. They perform similarly at home (37% win rate) and away (47%). With 60% of recent matches producing Over 2.5 goals, Derby games tend to be high-scoring affairs.

Current Form
W W L L W
Win Rate
50%
Record (Last 10)
5W 1D 4L
Prediction Accuracy
40%

Upcoming Derby Matches (10)

Date
League
Match
Advice
Mar 10
19:45
Championship Championship
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Derby Derby
45% 45% 10% PREDICTION
Double chance : Millwall or draw
Advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw
Mar 14
15:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby Derby
10% 45% 45% PREDICTION
Double chance : draw or Derby
Advice: Double chance : draw or Derby
Mar 21
15:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Birmingham Birmingham
Apr 03
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Coventry Coventry
Derby Derby
Apr 06
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Stoke City Stoke City
Apr 11
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Southampton Southampton
Derby Derby
Apr 18
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Oxford United Oxford United
Apr 21
18:45
Championship Championship
Championship
Norwich Norwich
Derby Derby
Apr 25
14:00
Championship Championship
Championship
QPR QPR
Derby Derby
May 02
11:30
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd

Recent Results & Statistics for Derby (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome
Mar 07
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
2-1
✔ Covered
Feb 28
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Blackburn Blackburn
3-1
✖ Not Covered
Feb 24
L
Championship Championship
Championship
Hull City Hull City
Derby Derby
4-2
✖ Not Covered
Feb 21
L
Championship Championship
Championship
Watford Watford
Derby Derby
2-0
✖ Not Covered
Feb 14
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Swansea Swansea
2-0
✖ Not Covered
Feb 07
L
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
Ipswich Ipswich
1-2
✔ Covered
Jan 23
D
Championship Championship
Championship
Derby Derby
West Brom West Brom
1-1
✔ Covered
Jan 20
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Charlton Charlton
Derby Derby
1-2
✖ Not Covered
Jan 17
W
Championship Championship
Championship
Preston Preston
Derby Derby
0-1
✖ Not Covered
Jan 11
L
FA Cup FA Cup
FA Cup
Derby Derby
Leeds Leeds
1-3
✔ Covered

Derby Stats & Trends

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 15
Goals Conceded 15
Avg. Goals Scored 1.5
Avg. Goals Conceded 1.5

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 5
Draws 1
Losses 4
Win Rate 50%
Prediction Accuracy 40% (4/10)

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 4 out of 10 recent Derby matches, achieving a 40% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (67% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (0%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 40%
Home Accuracy 67%
Away Accuracy 0%

Attacking Trends

Derby average 1.5 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.5 shots per game with 3.6 on target (31.3% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.36 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. Their 47% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.5
Avg. Shots 11.5
Shot Accuracy 31.3%
Avg. xG 1.36
Possession 47%

Home vs Away Performance

Derby show little home advantage with a 37% home win rate (7W in 19 games) vs 47% on the road (8W in 17 games). At home, they score 1.4 goals/game and concede 1.3, while away they score 1.6 and concede 1.3.

Home Win Rate 37%
Away Win Rate 47%
Home Goals/Game 1.4
Away Goals/Game 1.6

Goal Distribution

Derby's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 57% coming before half-time and 43% after. Their most dangerous period is the 31-45 minute window, accounting for 29% of goals.

14%
0-15'
14%
16-30'
29%
31-45'
14%
46-60'
14%
61-75'
14%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 57%
2nd Half Goals 43%
Peak Period 31-45 min (29%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Derby's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.0 (scored 1.5 + conceded 1.5). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 70% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%
Under 2.5 40%
Avg. Total Goals 3.0
BTTS Rate 70%

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