Predictions / Football / Toluca

Toluca Match Predictions, Stats & AI Betting Insights

Mexico Founded: 1917 TOL

Explore Toluca's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Toluca have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their defensive record is solid, conceding just 0.6 goals per match. Recent form shows a W-W-W-W-D pattern, with a 4-game winning streak building momentum. At home they are considerably stronger with a 75% win rate compared to just 60% away. With 60% of recent matches finishing Under 2.5 goals, Toluca are typically involved in low-scoring encounters.

Current Form
W W W W D
Win Rate
70%
Record (Last 10)
7W 2D 1L
Prediction Accuracy
90%

Upcoming Toluca Matches (7)

Date
League
Match
Advice
Mar 15
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Atlas Atlas
50% 50% 0% PREDICTION
Double chance : Toluca or draw
Advice: Double chance : Toluca or draw
Mar 21
23:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Pachuca Pachuca
Toluca Toluca
Apr 06
00:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
Toluca Toluca
Apr 13
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
Apr 19
03:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Club America Club America
Toluca Toluca
Apr 23
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Mazatlán Mazatlán
Toluca Toluca
Apr 26
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Leon Leon

Recent Results & Statistics for Toluca (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome
Mar 04
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca Toluca
2-3
✔ Covered
Feb 28
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
2-0
✔ Covered
Feb 22
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Necaxa Necaxa
Toluca Toluca
0-3
✔ Covered
Feb 14
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
1-0
✔ Covered
Feb 07
D
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1-1
✔ Covered
Jan 18
D
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
Toluca Toluca
0-0
✔ Covered
Jan 15
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
3-1
✔ Covered
Jan 11
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Monterrey Monterrey
Toluca Toluca
0-1
✔ Covered
Dec 15
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
2-1
✖ Not Covered
Dec 12
L
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
Toluca Toluca
1-0
✔ Covered

Toluca Stats & Trends

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 16
Goals Conceded 6
Avg. Goals Scored 1.6
Avg. Goals Conceded 0.6

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 7
Draws 2
Losses 1
Win Rate 70%
Prediction Accuracy 90% (9/10)

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 9 out of 10 recent Toluca matches, achieving a 90% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (100%) than home matches (80%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 90%
Home Accuracy 80%
Away Accuracy 100%

Attacking Trends

Toluca average 1.6 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 16.7 shots per game with 5.7 on target (34.1% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.68 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. With 55% average possession, Toluca employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 1.6
Avg. Shots 16.7
Shot Accuracy 34.1%
Avg. xG 1.68
Possession 55%

Home vs Away Performance

Toluca display a moderate home advantage with a 75% home win rate (3W in 4 games) vs 60% on the road (3W in 5 games). At home, they score 1.8 goals/game and concede 0.5, while away they score 1.4 and concede 0.4. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 75%
Away Win Rate 60%
Home Goals/Game 1.8
Away Goals/Game 1.4

Goal Distribution

Toluca's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 38% coming before half-time and 62% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 50% of goals. Notably, 50% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

12%
0-15'
12%
16-30'
12%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
12%
61-75'
50%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 38%
2nd Half Goals 62%
Peak Period 76-90 min (50%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Toluca's last 10 matches, 4 games (40%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 6 (60%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.2 (scored 1.6 + conceded 0.6). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 40% of matches.

Over 2.5 40%
Under 2.5 60%
Avg. Total Goals 2.2
BTTS Rate 40%

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