Marchés suivis vs résultat à temps plein
Chaque ligne compare le modèle d'avant-match au résultat à temps plein.
- Marché Prédiction Résultat Résultat
- Plus / Moins 2.5 Plus de 2.5 Plus de 2.5 (4 objectifs) ✔ Correct
- Les deux équipes marquent BTTS Oui Oui ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Manchester United Dessiner ✖ Incorrect
- Analyse du score exact 1-2, 1-1, 1-3, 0-2, 2-2 2-2 ✔ Correct
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotProbability Calibration
- Expected: 55.6%
- Historical Bucket: 55–60% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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Premier League — Classement
| # | ÉQUIPE | J | V | N | D | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Ipswich Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Leeds United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| # | ÉQUIPE | J | BP | BC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 4 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 3 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 | Brentford | 4 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ipswich Town | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 3 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Hull City | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 13 | Everton | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Fulham | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Leeds United | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Coventry City | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| # | ÉQUIPE | J | xG | xGC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4.9 | 1.0 | +3.9 | 12 |
| 2 | Brentford | 4 | 5.5 | 1.9 | +3.6 | 6 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 3 | 7.1 | 4.3 | +2.8 | 4 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 3 | 3.8 | 1.2 | +2.6 | 9 |
| 5 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 5.2 | 3.3 | +1.9 | 4 |
| 6 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | +0.9 | 5 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 4 | 5.1 | 5.0 | +0.1 | 7 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | +0.1 | 6 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 3 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | -0.3 | 5 |
| 12 | Coventry City | 3 | 1.6 | 2.5 | -0.9 | 0 |
| 13 | Everton | 4 | 3.9 | 4.9 | -1.0 | 6 |
| 14 | Newcastle United | 3 | 2.2 | 3.3 | -1.1 | 5 |
| 15 | Hull City | 4 | 2.0 | 3.1 | -1.1 | 8 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 2.8 | 4.1 | -1.3 | 3 |
| 17 | Fulham | 4 | 2.1 | 3.5 | -1.4 | 1 |
| 18 | Ipswich Town | 4 | 3.8 | 5.3 | -1.5 | 6 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 4 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -3.2 | 2 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0.6 | 4.7 | -4.1 | 1 |