France U19 vs Turkey U19 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 01, 2026 - 10:45
2 1.41
1 1.19
xG Accuracy: 81%
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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

  • Рынок Прогноз Результат Исход
  • Тотал больше / меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 Тотал больше 2.5 (3 голы) ✖ Неверно
  • Обе забьют Обе забьют (BTTS) Да Да ✔ Верно
  • 1X2 France U19 France U19 ✔ Верно
  • Инсайты по точному счету 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-1 ✔ Верно

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11910584

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result France U19 win · France U19 2–1 Turkey U19
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI обзор матча

AI краткий обзор матча

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Товарищеские матчи
  • Fixture: France U19 vs Turkey U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-01 10:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): France U19 1.41 — Turkey U19 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Историческая рекомендация

Историческое решение: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Факторы риска, учтенные до начала матча

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Последнее обновление

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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