Portugal U19 vs Нидерланды U19 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 30, 2026 - 16:30

6 1.30

1 1.30

xG Accuracy: 25%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11905606

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Portugal U19 win · Portugal U19 6–1 Нидерланды U19

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Товарищеские матчи
Fixture: Portugal U19 vs Нидерланды U19
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 16:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Portugal U19 1.3 — Нидерланды U19 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 34.0% · Probability edge: +17.9 pts · Est. EV: +49.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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