Рид vs СКУ Амштеттен Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 13:00

3 1.37

3 1.23

xG Accuracy: 39%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11676859

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Рид 3–3 СКУ Амштеттен

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: Рид vs СКУ Амштеттен
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 27.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Рид 1.37 — СКУ Амштеттен 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 34.6% · Probability edge: +17.2 pts · Est. EV: +42.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Историческое решение: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).