Статистика / Футбол / Эсватини. Премьер-лига Эсватини / Manzini Sea Birds vs Royal Leopards

Manzini Sea Birds vs Royal Leopards Statistics & Analysis

Manzini Sea Birds Manzini Sea Birds
Sep 19, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.33
3 1.27
xG Accuracy: 39%
Royal Leopards Royal Leopards
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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

  • Рынок Прогноз Результат Исход
  • Тотал больше / меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 Тотал больше 2.5 (6 голы) ✖ Неверно
  • Обе забьют Обе забьют (BTTS) Да Да ✔ Верно
  • 1X2 Manzini Sea Birds Ничья ✖ Неверно
  • Инсайты по точному счету 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-3 ✖ Неверно

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9573638

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Manzini Sea Birds 3–3 Royal Leopards
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI обзор матча

AI краткий обзор матча

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Премьер-лига Эсватини
  • Fixture: Manzini Sea Birds vs Royal Leopards
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Manzini Sea Birds 1.33 — Royal Leopards 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Историческая рекомендация

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Факторы риска, учтенные до начала матча

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Последнее обновление

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Премьер-лига Эсватини Премьер-лига Эсватини — Турнирная таблица
# КОМАНДА И В Н П О
1 Ezulwini United 1 1 0 0 3
2 PPK Professionals 1 1 0 0 3
3 Moneni Pirates 1 1 0 0 3
4 Rangers FC 1 1 0 0 3
5 Ubombo Sugar 1 1 0 0 3
6 Manzini Sea Birds 1 0 1 0 1
7 Royal Leopards 1 0 1 0 1
8 Madlenya 1 0 1 0 1
9 Tabankulu 1 0 1 0 1
10 Green Mamba 1 0 1 0 1
11 Highlanders 1 0 1 0 1
12 Mbabane Swallows 1 0 0 1 0
13 Nsingizini Hotspurs 1 0 0 1 0
14 Young Buffaloes 1 0 0 1 0
15 Red Rhinos 1 0 0 1 0
16 Amawele 1 0 0 1 0
# КОМАНДА И ЗГ ПГ +/- О
1 Ezulwini United 1 3 0 +3 3
2 PPK Professionals 1 3 1 +2 3
3 Manzini Sea Birds 1 3 3 0 1
4 Royal Leopards 1 3 3 0 1
5 Moneni Pirates 1 1 0 +1 3
6 Rangers FC 1 1 0 +1 3
7 Ubombo Sugar 1 1 0 +1 3
8 Madlenya 1 1 1 0 1
9 Tabankulu 1 1 1 0 1
10 Red Rhinos 1 1 3 -2 0
11 Green Mamba 1 0 0 0 1
12 Highlanders 1 0 0 0 1
13 Mbabane Swallows 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Nsingizini Hotspurs 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Young Buffaloes 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Amawele 1 0 3 -3 0