Maya vs USFA Statistics & Analysis

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Maya

Sep 19, 2026 - 15:30

0 1.20

1 1.40

xG Accuracy: 64%

USFA

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Рынок Прогноз Результат Исход
Тотал больше / меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 (1 голы) ✔ Верно
Обе забьют Обе забьют (BTTS) Да Нет ✖ Неверно
1X2 USFA USFA ✔ Верно
Инсайты по точному счету 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Верно

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9580049

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result USFA win · Maya 0–1 USFA

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI обзор матча

AI краткий обзор матча

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Лига 1 Буркина-Фасо
Fixture: Maya vs USFA
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Maya 1.2 — USFA 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческая рекомендация

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Факторы риска, учтенные до начала матча

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Последнее обновление

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Лига 1 Буркина-Фасо — Турнирная таблица

#	КОМАНДА	И	В	Н	П	О
1	Rahimo	1	1	0	0	3
2	ASFA-Yennenga	1	1	0	0	3
3	USFA	1	1	0	0	3
4	Majestic	1	1	0	0	3
5	FocuSport	1	1	0	0	3
6	RCK	1	0	1	0	1
7	ASFB	1	0	1	0	1
8	Salitas	1	0	1	0	1
9	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	1
10	Sporting Cascades	1	0	1	0	1
11	CFFEB	1	0	1	0	1
12	Réal du Faso	1	0	0	1	0
13	SONABEL	1	0	0	1	0
14	Comoé	1	0	0	1	0
15	Douanes	1	0	0	1	0
16	Maya	1	0	0	1	0

#	КОМАНДА	И	ЗГ	ПГ	+/-	О
1	Rahimo	1	2	1	+1	3
2	RCK	1	2	2	0	1
3	ASFB	1	2	2	0	1
4	Salitas	1	2	2	0	1
5	Vitesse	1	2	2	0	1
6	ASFA-Yennenga	1	1	0	+1	3
7	USFA	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Majestic	1	1	0	+1	3
9	FocuSport	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Réal du Faso	1	1	2	-1	0
11	Sporting Cascades	1	0	0	0	1
12	CFFEB	1	0	0	0	1
13	SONABEL	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Comoé	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Douanes	1	0	1	-1	0
16	Maya	1	0	1	-1	0