Венгрия U19 vs Болгария U19 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.27

1 1.33

xG Accuracy: 85%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10109731

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Венгрия U19 1–1 Болгария U19

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Товарищеские матчи
Fixture: Венгрия U19 vs Болгария U19
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Венгрия U19 1.27 — Болгария U19 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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