Аделаида Сити vs Авондейл Statistics & Analysis

Oct 16, 2026 - 08:30

2 1.30

xG Accuracy: 68%

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 10, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14521845

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Аделаида Сити 2–2 Авондейл

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Кубок Австралии
Fixture: Аделаида Сити vs Авондейл
Kickoff: 2026-10-16 08:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Аделаида Сити 1.3 — Авондейл 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.3% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +15.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

Откройте доступ к детальному анализу, эксклюзивным советам по ставкам и прогнозам матчей с нашей премиум-подпиской.