Лезерхед vs Рамсгейт Statistics & Analysis

Лезерхед

Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00

3 1.40

2 1.20

xG Accuracy: 52%

Рамсгейт

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Рынок Прогноз Результат Исход
Тотал больше / меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 Тотал больше 2.5 (5 голы) ✖ Неверно
Обе забьют Обе забьют (BTTS) Да Да ✔ Верно
1X2 Лезерхед Лезерхед ✔ Верно
Инсайты по точному счету 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Неверно

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10108685

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Лезерхед win · Лезерхед 3–2 Рамсгейт

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI обзор матча

AI краткий обзор матча

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Трофей ФА
Fixture: Лезерхед vs Рамсгейт
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
xG (showing): Лезерхед 1.4 — Рамсгейт 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческая рекомендация

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Факторы риска, учтенные до начала матча

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).