Лентиджоне vs Пьяченца Statistics & Analysis

Oct 07, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 57%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12185065

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Пьяченца win · Лентиджоне 1–3 Пьяченца

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Кубок Италии (Серия D)
Fixture: Лентиджоне vs Пьяченца
Kickoff: 2026-10-07 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Лентиджоне 1.32 — Пьяченца 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.8% · Probability edge: +6.0 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).