Les Aiglons Dalheim vs Union Titus Petange Statistics & Analysis

Sep 20, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.22
8 1.38
xG Accuracy: 12%
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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

  • Рынок Прогноз Результат Исход
  • Тотал больше / меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 Тотал больше 2.5 (8 голы) ✖ Неверно
  • Обе забьют Обе забьют (BTTS) Да Нет ✖ Неверно
  • 1X2 Union Titus Petange Union Titus Petange ✔ Верно
  • Инсайты по точному счету 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-8 ✖ Неверно

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8682015

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Union Titus Petange win · Les Aiglons Dalheim 0–8 Union Titus Petange
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI обзор матча

AI краткий обзор матча

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Кубок Люксембурга
  • Fixture: Les Aiglons Dalheim vs Union Titus Petange
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Les Aiglons Dalheim 1.22 — Union Titus Petange 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческая рекомендация

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Факторы риска, учтенные до начала матча

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Последнее обновление

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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