Марчамало vs Унион Адарве Statistics & Analysis

Aug 30, 2026 - 08:00

2 1.29

0 1.31

xG Accuracy: 57%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5285795

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Марчамало win · Марчамало 2–0 Унион Адарве

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: Марчамало vs Унион Адарве
Kickoff: 2026-08-30 08:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.1% · Draw 28.9% · Away 36.0%
xG (showing): Марчамало 1.29 — Унион Адарве 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).