Vitesse vs Réal Bamako Statistics & Analysis

Sep 06, 2026 - 16:00

1 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 75%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 03:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6159697

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Réal Bamako win · Vitesse 1–2 Réal Bamako

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Кубок конфедерации КАФ
Fixture: Vitesse vs Réal Bamako
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Vitesse 1.32 — Réal Bamako 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).