Кришов vs Альтглиенике Statistics & Analysis

Кришов

Jul 15, 2026 - 16:30

0 1.19

6 1.41

xG Accuracy: 20%

Альтглиенике

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Рынок Прогноз Результат Исход
Тотал больше / меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 Тотал больше 2.5 (6 голы) ✖ Неверно
Обе забьют Обе забьют (BTTS) Да Нет ✖ Неверно
1X2 VSG Альтглиенике Альтглиенике ✔ Верно
Инсайты по точному счету 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-6 ✖ Неверно

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 16:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1473562

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Альтглиенике win · Кришов 0–6 Альтглиенике

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI обзор матча

AI краткий обзор матча

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: Кришов vs VSG Альтглиенике
Kickoff: 2026-07-15 16:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
xG (showing): Кришов 1.19 — VSG Альтглиенике 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческая рекомендация

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Факторы риска, учтенные до начала матча

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).