Тондела vs Бейра-Мар Statistics & Analysis

Jul 25, 2026 - 09:00

1 1.36

2 1.24

xG Accuracy: 74%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1453623

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Бейра-Мар win · Тондела 1–2 Бейра-Мар

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: Тондела vs Бейра-Мар
Kickoff: 2026-07-25 09:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Тондела 1.36 — Бейра-Мар 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).