Флуминенсе vs Баия Statistics & Analysis

Jul 12, 2026 - 19:00

2 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 58%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 11:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2186685

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Флуминенсе win · Флуминенсе 2–0 Баия

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

This prediction contributes to:

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: Флуминенсе vs Баия
Kickoff: 2026-07-12 19:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.9% · Draw 29.4% · Away 32.8%
xG (showing): Флуминенсе 1.32 — Баия 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 47.5% · Probability edge: +7.0 pts · Est. EV: +7.9%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).