Уиком vs Портсмут Statistics & Analysis

Jul 25, 2026 - 15:00

3 1.19

1 1.41

xG Accuracy: 54%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1456303

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Уиком win · Уиком 3–1 Портсмут

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: Уиком Wanderers vs Портсмут
Kickoff: 2026-07-25 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away 40.7%
xG (showing): Уиком Wanderers 1.19 — Портсмут 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.6% · Probability edge: +4.2 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).