НК Локомотива Загреб vs Штурм Грац II Statistics & Analysis

Jul 25, 2026 - 12:00

4 1.34

0 1.26

xG Accuracy: 34%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1453520

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result НК Локомотива Загреб win · НК Локомотива Загреб 4–0 Штурм Грац II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: НК Локомотива Загреб vs Штурм Грац II
Kickoff: 2026-07-25 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): НК Локомотива Загреб 1.34 — Штурм Грац II 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).