Динамо vs Нижний Новгород Statistics & Analysis

Jul 04, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.31

1 1.29

xG Accuracy: 76%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 23:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1656055

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Динамо win · Динамо 2–1 Нижний Новгород

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: Динамо vs Нижний Новгород
Kickoff: 2026-07-04 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Динамо 1.31 — Нижний Новгород 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).