Мотор Люблин vs Динамо Бухарест Statistics & Analysis

Jun 27, 2026 - 15:00

3 1.37

1 1.23

xG Accuracy: 60%

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 12:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2926740

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Мотор Люблин win · Мотор Люблин 3–1 Динамо Бухарест

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: Мотор Люблин vs Динамо Бухарест
Kickoff: 2026-06-27 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.7% · Draw 28.8% · Away 34.5%
xG (showing): Мотор Люблин 1.37 — Динамо Бухарест 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.4% · Probability edge: +7.4 pts · Est. EV: +11.4%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Историческое решение: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Исход: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).