Гримсби vs Линкольн Statistics & Analysis

Jul 28, 2026 - 18:00

5 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 34%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1454996

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Гримсби win · Гримсби 5–1 Линкольн

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: Гримсби vs Линкольн
Kickoff: 2026-07-28 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 28.0% · Away 41.0%
xG (showing): Гримсби 1.33 — Линкольн 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Историческое решение: No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).