Слован Либерец vs Дукла Прага Statistics & Analysis

Jul 04, 2026 - 09:00

2 1.39

2 1.21

xG Accuracy: 68%

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1455197

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Слован Либерец 2–2 Дукла Прага

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: Слован Либерец vs Дукла Прага
Kickoff: 2026-07-04 09:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 44.4% · Draw 27.9% · Away 27.7%
xG (showing): Слован Либерец 1.39 — Дукла Прага 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.1% · Probability edge: +10.7 pts · Est. EV: +25.9%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Историческое решение: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).